**Trader consensus on Mexico City’s September 12 low centers on the narrow gap between 13°C and 14°C, with probabilities clustered near 50% amid model and observational variance.** At roughly 2,240 m elevation, the city experiences pronounced nocturnal radiative cooling once daytime heating ends, modulated by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limited temperature drops. Official station data and ensemble forecasts showed overnight minima hovering near 13–15°C, with slight differences arising from exact measurement timing, urban heat-island buffering, and micro-scale wind patterns. Recent moisture influx from passing showers further tempered cooling rates compared with drier historical analogs for mid-September. Updated model runs and final CONAGUA or airport observations will resolve the precise threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 12 settembre?
8°C o inferiore 99%
13°C 98%
12°C 10%
11°C 7%
$481 Vol.
$481 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
99%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
98%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
8°C o inferiore 99%
13°C 98%
12°C 10%
11°C 7%
$481 Vol.
$481 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
99%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
98%
14°C
55%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Mexico City’s September 12 low centers on the narrow gap between 13°C and 14°C, with probabilities clustered near 50% amid model and observational variance.** At roughly 2,240 m elevation, the city experiences pronounced nocturnal radiative cooling once daytime heating ends, modulated by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limited temperature drops. Official station data and ensemble forecasts showed overnight minima hovering near 13–15°C, with slight differences arising from exact measurement timing, urban heat-island buffering, and micro-scale wind patterns. Recent moisture influx from passing showers further tempered cooling rates compared with drier historical analogs for mid-September. Updated model runs and final CONAGUA or airport observations will resolve the precise threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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