Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, project an afternoon high near 27°C for Tokyo on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-September climatology with average highs around 27°C and stable pressure patterns limiting extremes. Scattered light rain or drizzle in morning hours may temper peak readings slightly, while model consensus narrows trader focus to the 26–28°C range. Final Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late steering wind shifts offering the main uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tokyo il 13 settembre?
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 22%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
40%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 26%
28°C 22%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$279 Vol.
1%
24°C
$339 Vol.
3%
25°C
$793 Vol.
5%
26°C
$746 Vol.
26%
27°C
$1,926 Vol.
40%
28°C
$1,421 Vol.
22%
29°C
$466 Vol.
3%
30°C
$861 Vol.
2%
31°C o superiore
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, project an afternoon high near 27°C for Tokyo on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-September climatology with average highs around 27°C and stable pressure patterns limiting extremes. Scattered light rain or drizzle in morning hours may temper peak readings slightly, while model consensus narrows trader focus to the 26–28°C range. Final Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late steering wind shifts offering the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,665Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, project an afternoon high near 27°C for Tokyo on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-September climatology with average highs around 27°C and stable pressure patterns limiting extremes. Scattered light rain or drizzle in morning hours may temper peak readings slightly, while model consensus narrows trader focus to the 26–28°C range. Final Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late steering wind shifts offering the main uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,665Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, project an afternoon high near 27°C for Tokyo on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-September climatology with average highs around 27°C and stable pressure patterns limiting extremes. Scattered light rain or drizzle in morning hours may temper peak readings slightly, while model consensus narrows trader focus to the 26–28°C range. Final Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late steering wind shifts offering the main uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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