Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high of 77–80°F in New York City on September 12, with partly to mostly sunny skies and a gradual shift to light southerly winds after a frontal passage. This setup favors the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes, as post-frontal northerly flow on the 11th yields cooler morning temperatures before moderating. Southerly advection and limited cloud cover support modest warming, yet marine influences and the urban heat island keep extremes unlikely. Historical climatology shows an average high of 77.7°F, reinforcing the current consensus while highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in wind timing or insolation that could tip the daily maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 12 settembre?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
69°F o meno
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88°F o più
2%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
69°F o meno
$0 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$176 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$49 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$13 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
3%
88°F o più
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high of 77–80°F in New York City on September 12, with partly to mostly sunny skies and a gradual shift to light southerly winds after a frontal passage. This setup favors the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes, as post-frontal northerly flow on the 11th yields cooler morning temperatures before moderating. Southerly advection and limited cloud cover support modest warming, yet marine influences and the urban heat island keep extremes unlikely. Historical climatology shows an average high of 77.7°F, reinforcing the current consensus while highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in wind timing or insolation that could tip the daily maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$238Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high of 77–80°F in New York City on September 12, with partly to mostly sunny skies and a gradual shift to light southerly winds after a frontal passage. This setup favors the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes, as post-frontal northerly flow on the 11th yields cooler morning temperatures before moderating. Southerly advection and limited cloud cover support modest warming, yet marine influences and the urban heat island keep extremes unlikely. Historical climatology shows an average high of 77.7°F, reinforcing the current consensus while highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in wind timing or insolation that could tip the daily maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$238Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime high of 77–80°F in New York City on September 12, with partly to mostly sunny skies and a gradual shift to light southerly winds after a frontal passage. This setup favors the tightly bunched 76–81°F outcomes, as post-frontal northerly flow on the 11th yields cooler morning temperatures before moderating. Southerly advection and limited cloud cover support modest warming, yet marine influences and the urban heat island keep extremes unlikely. Historical climatology shows an average high of 77.7°F, reinforcing the current consensus while highlighting sensitivity to small shifts in wind timing or insolation that could tip the daily maximum between the leading bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti