Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Mexico City on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rain typical of the region's wet season. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 23–25°C. Current observations show overcast skies and light winds that further suppress maxima, though model spread leaves room for brief clearing that could push readings toward 25–26°C. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the highest probabilities on 25°C or above reflecting potential forecast revisions ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 12 settembre?
26°C o superiore 47%
25°C 40%
24°C 8%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
40%
26°C o superiore
47%
26°C o superiore 47%
25°C 40%
24°C 8%
23°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
16°C o inferiore
$127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$366 Vol.
3%
24°C
$427 Vol.
8%
25°C
$944 Vol.
40%
26°C o superiore
$1,156 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Mexico City on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rain typical of the region's wet season. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 23–25°C. Current observations show overcast skies and light winds that further suppress maxima, though model spread leaves room for brief clearing that could push readings toward 25–26°C. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the highest probabilities on 25°C or above reflecting potential forecast revisions ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,649Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Mexico City on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rain typical of the region's wet season. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 23–25°C. Current observations show overcast skies and light winds that further suppress maxima, though model spread leaves room for brief clearing that could push readings toward 25–26°C. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the highest probabilities on 25°C or above reflecting potential forecast revisions ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,649Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime high near 23°C for Mexico City on September 12, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rain typical of the region's wet season. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit warming, aligning with September climatological averages of 23–25°C. Current observations show overcast skies and light winds that further suppress maxima, though model spread leaves room for brief clearing that could push readings toward 25–26°C. Traders appear to price in this uncertainty, with the highest probabilities on 25°C or above reflecting potential forecast revisions ahead of final verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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