Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, with mostly sunny conditions and lighter northwesterly winds replacing today’s cooler southerly flow and rain. This aligns with the seasonal average September daytime maximum of roughly 14–15°C at the airport site, though spring variability and wind shifts can produce 1–2°C deviations. The market’s strong weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects trader consensus on modest daytime recovery under clearing skies, while the smaller 16°C probability (11.5%) accounts for upside potential if winds remain favorable and solar heating peaks higher than baseline guidance. Lower outcomes remain marginal given current model agreement and the low likelihood of significant cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington l'11 settembre?
15°C 60%
14°C 30%
16°C 12%
12°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,298 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,298 Vol.
11 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
30%
15°C
60%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 60%
14°C 30%
16°C 12%
12°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,298 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,298 Vol.
11 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$901 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$717 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,764 Vol.
2%
14°C
$1,518 Vol.
30%
15°C
$3,190 Vol.
60%
16°C
$1,289 Vol.
12%
17°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$471 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, with mostly sunny conditions and lighter northwesterly winds replacing today’s cooler southerly flow and rain. This aligns with the seasonal average September daytime maximum of roughly 14–15°C at the airport site, though spring variability and wind shifts can produce 1–2°C deviations. The market’s strong weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects trader consensus on modest daytime recovery under clearing skies, while the smaller 16°C probability (11.5%) accounts for upside potential if winds remain favorable and solar heating peaks higher than baseline guidance. Lower outcomes remain marginal given current model agreement and the low likelihood of significant cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,298Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, with mostly sunny conditions and lighter northwesterly winds replacing today’s cooler southerly flow and rain. This aligns with the seasonal average September daytime maximum of roughly 14–15°C at the airport site, though spring variability and wind shifts can produce 1–2°C deviations. The market’s strong weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects trader consensus on modest daytime recovery under clearing skies, while the smaller 16°C probability (11.5%) accounts for upside potential if winds remain favorable and solar heating peaks higher than baseline guidance. Lower outcomes remain marginal given current model agreement and the low likelihood of significant cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,298Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, with mostly sunny conditions and lighter northwesterly winds replacing today’s cooler southerly flow and rain. This aligns with the seasonal average September daytime maximum of roughly 14–15°C at the airport site, though spring variability and wind shifts can produce 1–2°C deviations. The market’s strong weighting toward 15°C (58.5%) and 14°C (29.5%) reflects trader consensus on modest daytime recovery under clearing skies, while the smaller 16°C probability (11.5%) accounts for upside potential if winds remain favorable and solar heating peaks higher than baseline guidance. Lower outcomes remain marginal given current model agreement and the low likelihood of significant cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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