Official forecasts for Wellington on September 13 point to a daytime high of 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds shifting from northerlies overnight. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C, reflecting model consensus from sources like MetService and international ensembles showing stable spring conditions without strong frontal systems. September climatology averages near 13°C, so the mild outcome stems from a ridge of high pressure suppressing cooler southerlies and limiting cloud buildup that could cap temperatures. Minor model spread on wind strength and afternoon clearing introduces limited uncertainty around the exact peak, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 14–16°C range ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 13 settembre?
15°C 69%
14°C 21%
16°C 11%
13°C 3%
$16,749 Vol.
$16,749 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
69%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 69%
14°C 21%
16°C 11%
13°C 3%
$16,749 Vol.
$16,749 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
69%
16°C
11%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Wellington on September 13 point to a daytime high of 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds shifting from northerlies overnight. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C, reflecting model consensus from sources like MetService and international ensembles showing stable spring conditions without strong frontal systems. September climatology averages near 13°C, so the mild outcome stems from a ridge of high pressure suppressing cooler southerlies and limiting cloud buildup that could cap temperatures. Minor model spread on wind strength and afternoon clearing introduces limited uncertainty around the exact peak, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 14–16°C range ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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