Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a consensus daytime high near 25°C for Incheon on September 13 under persistent overcast skies and light westerly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C and 26°C outcomes reflecting typical ensemble spread in late-summer conditions. Stable high pressure and seasonal norms around 23–27°C further anchor trader sentiment, with low precipitation risk and no significant frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution by official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 13 settembre?
25°C 51%
24°C 27%
26°C 18%
23°C 7%
$10,135 Vol.
$10,135 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
27%
25°C
51%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 51%
24°C 27%
26°C 18%
23°C 7%
$10,135 Vol.
$10,135 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
27%
25°C
51%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a consensus daytime high near 25°C for Incheon on September 13 under persistent overcast skies and light westerly winds that limit surface heating. This aligns with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C and 26°C outcomes reflecting typical ensemble spread in late-summer conditions. Stable high pressure and seasonal norms around 23–27°C further anchor trader sentiment, with low precipitation risk and no significant frontal systems expected to alter the thermal profile before resolution by official Korea Meteorological Administration observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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