Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Chicago on September 11 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly to variable winds, and dry conditions following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover but limits deeper drops given seasonal warmth and dew points in the 50s. Historical climatology shows an average low near 61°F for the date, providing context for why bins around 62-63°F hold meaningful implied probability alongside the leading 70°F-or-higher outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects as the primary overnight window approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chicago l'11 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chicago l'11 settembre?
70°F o superiore 90%
51°F o inferiore 57%
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
57%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
39%
20-21°C
39%
70°F o superiore
90%
70°F o superiore 90%
51°F o inferiore 57%
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 set 2026
51°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
57%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
39%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
39%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
30%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
23%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
39%
20-21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
70°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Chicago on September 11 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly to variable winds, and dry conditions following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover but limits deeper drops given seasonal warmth and dew points in the 50s. Historical climatology shows an average low near 61°F for the date, providing context for why bins around 62-63°F hold meaningful implied probability alongside the leading 70°F-or-higher outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects as the primary overnight window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Chicago on September 11 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly to variable winds, and dry conditions following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover but limits deeper drops given seasonal warmth and dew points in the 50s. Historical climatology shows an average low near 61°F for the date, providing context for why bins around 62-63°F hold meaningful implied probability alongside the leading 70°F-or-higher outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects as the primary overnight window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
11 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to overnight lows in Chicago on September 11 in the low-to-mid 60s°F, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly to variable winds, and dry conditions following a weak frontal passage. This setup favors radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover but limits deeper drops given seasonal warmth and dew points in the 50s. Historical climatology shows an average low near 61°F for the date, providing context for why bins around 62-63°F hold meaningful implied probability alongside the leading 70°F-or-higher outcome. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects as the primary overnight window approaches.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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