Recent GFS and ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into September 10, promoting strong radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 10–12 °C at Paris observation sites, consistent with climatological norms of 12.1 °C but sensitive to slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with any deviation below 10 °C hinging on clearer-than-expected conditions or localized cold-air pooling. Traders appear to weigh the potential for modest additional cooling against the typical September baseline, producing tight implied probabilities around 8–9 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 10 settembre?
8°C 33%
9°C 33%
7°C o inferiore 17%
10°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
33%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C o superiore
3%
8°C 33%
9°C 33%
7°C o inferiore 17%
10°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$300 Vol.
17%
8°C
$682 Vol.
33%
9°C
$867 Vol.
33%
10°C
$264 Vol.
14%
11°C
$231 Vol.
5%
12°C
$188 Vol.
5%
13°C
$381 Vol.
3%
14°C
$142 Vol.
1%
15°C
$25 Vol.
3%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C o superiore
$25 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into September 10, promoting strong radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 10–12 °C at Paris observation sites, consistent with climatological norms of 12.1 °C but sensitive to slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with any deviation below 10 °C hinging on clearer-than-expected conditions or localized cold-air pooling. Traders appear to weigh the potential for modest additional cooling against the typical September baseline, producing tight implied probabilities around 8–9 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,192Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into September 10, promoting strong radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 10–12 °C at Paris observation sites, consistent with climatological norms of 12.1 °C but sensitive to slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with any deviation below 10 °C hinging on clearer-than-expected conditions or localized cold-air pooling. Traders appear to weigh the potential for modest additional cooling against the typical September baseline, producing tight implied probabilities around 8–9 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,192Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northwest winds overnight into September 10, promoting strong radiative cooling under a building high-pressure ridge. This setup favors minimum temperatures near 10–12 °C at Paris observation sites, consistent with climatological norms of 12.1 °C but sensitive to slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with any deviation below 10 °C hinging on clearer-than-expected conditions or localized cold-air pooling. Traders appear to weigh the potential for modest additional cooling against the typical September baseline, producing tight implied probabilities around 8–9 °C. Updated model runs and official Météo-France briefings tonight will refine the exact overnight minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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