Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models such as GFS indicate Moscow will experience sunny conditions with a southerly flow on September 10, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 25°C holds the highest implied probability at 53.5%. The warm anomaly stems from a transient ridge of high pressure overriding typical early-September norms of roughly 17–18°C, with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating around mid-afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 10 settembre?
25°C 54%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
23°C 5%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
54%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 21%
26°C 12%
23°C 5%
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
21%
25°C
54%
26°C
12%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models such as GFS indicate Moscow will experience sunny conditions with a southerly flow on September 10, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 25°C holds the highest implied probability at 53.5%. The warm anomaly stems from a transient ridge of high pressure overriding typical early-September norms of roughly 17–18°C, with minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating around mid-afternoon. Ensemble guidance shows low spread, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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