**Recent frontal passage over northern Italy has introduced cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating in Milan ahead of September 10.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced models, and regional guidance consistently indicate a maximum temperature in the 19–22 °C range, with persistent low-to-mid-level stratus, light northeasterly flow, and periods of light rain or showers limiting solar insolation. The market’s tight clustering around 21 °C (34 %) and 22 °C (25.5 %) reflects high model agreement on these conditions, while lower probabilities for 23 °C+ or sub-20 °C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September baselines near 25 °C underscore how the current synoptic setup has shifted expectations downward by several degrees. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations through tonight will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 10 settembre?
21°C 34%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
23°C 8%
$11,538 Vol.
$11,538 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
17%
21°C
34%
22°C
25%
23°C
8%
24°C o superiore
6%
21°C 34%
22°C 25%
20°C 17%
23°C 8%
$11,538 Vol.
$11,538 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
17%
21°C
34%
22°C
25%
23°C
8%
24°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent frontal passage over northern Italy has introduced cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover, suppressing daytime heating in Milan ahead of September 10.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced models, and regional guidance consistently indicate a maximum temperature in the 19–22 °C range, with persistent low-to-mid-level stratus, light northeasterly flow, and periods of light rain or showers limiting solar insolation. The market’s tight clustering around 21 °C (34 %) and 22 °C (25.5 %) reflects high model agreement on these conditions, while lower probabilities for 23 °C+ or sub-20 °C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September baselines near 25 °C underscore how the current synoptic setup has shifted expectations downward by several degrees. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations through tonight will be the key near-term drivers of any further probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti