Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) l'8 settembre?
15°C o inferiore 99%
16°C 44%
17°C 44%
21°C 44%
15°C o inferiore
99%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C
44%
24°C
44%
25°C o superiore
1%
15°C o inferiore 99%
16°C 44%
17°C 44%
21°C 44%
15°C o inferiore
99%
16°C
44%
17°C
44%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
36%
21°C
44%
22°C
44%
23°C
44%
24°C
44%
25°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from agencies including the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a potential overnight minimum near or below 15°C in Incheon on September 8, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling and a shift to northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This positions the 15°C-or-below outcome at 50% implied probability as traders weigh model consensus against historical September lows averaging around 18°C. Upcoming high-resolution updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold, with any eastward steering or increased cloud cover likely supporting the 19–20°C range currently at 33–36%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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