Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 12 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 12 luglio?
28°C 37%
27°C 30%
26°C 25%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
25%
27°C
30%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
3%
32°C o superiore
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 30%
26°C 25%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
$27 Vol.
4%
23°C
$11 Vol.
4%
24°C
$11 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$3 Vol.
25%
27°C
$3 Vol.
30%
28°C
$39 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$31 Vol.
8%
31°C
$57 Vol.
3%
32°C o superiore
$158 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$333Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$333Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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