Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 12 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 12 luglio?
25°C 26%
26°C 18%
30°C o superiore 14%
24°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
20°C o inferiore
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C
13%
25°C
32%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
14%
25°C 26%
26°C 18%
30°C o superiore 14%
24°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 lug 2026
20°C o inferiore
$52 Vol.
8%
21°C
$35 Vol.
8%
22°C
$15 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$10 Vol.
13%
25°C
$98 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$15 Vol.
8%
28°C
$288 Vol.
4%
29°C
$67 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$27 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$544Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$544Data di fine
12 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti