**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR 284/217) has held elite status as the set’s top chase card, trading near or above $1,000 raw in recent weeks amid strong collector demand.** The 74.5% market-implied probability for a price decline by August 31 centers on the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly injects additional copies of the expansion into circulation. This timing, just days before the resolution date, creates clear near-term supply pressure on a card whose recent sales have already shown signs of softening from earlier peaks. Broader context includes ongoing 2026 mega-evolution product cycles and anticipation for the Storm Emerald set (expected late August/September) featuring another high-profile Mega, which could further shift collector focus. Historical TCG patterns show chase SIRs often correct after dedicated reprint products arrive, and traders appear to be pricing in that precedent here rather than betting on continued upward momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMega Gengar ex Price Up/Down il 31 agosto?
Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down il 31 agosto?
Up
26% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
Up
26% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR 284/217) has held elite status as the set’s top chase card, trading near or above $1,000 raw in recent weeks amid strong collector demand.**
The 74.5% market-implied probability for a price decline by August 31 centers on the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly injects additional copies of the expansion into circulation. This timing, just days before the resolution date, creates clear near-term supply pressure on a card whose recent sales have already shown signs of softening from earlier peaks.
Broader context includes ongoing 2026 mega-evolution product cycles and anticipation for the Storm Emerald set (expected late August/September) featuring another high-profile Mega, which could further shift collector focus. Historical TCG patterns show chase SIRs often correct after dedicated reprint products arrive, and traders appear to be pricing in that precedent here rather than betting on continued upward momentum.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volume
$2,322Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR 284/217) has held elite status as the set’s top chase card, trading near or above $1,000 raw in recent weeks amid strong collector demand.**
The 74.5% market-implied probability for a price decline by August 31 centers on the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly injects additional copies of the expansion into circulation. This timing, just days before the resolution date, creates clear near-term supply pressure on a card whose recent sales have already shown signs of softening from earlier peaks.
Broader context includes ongoing 2026 mega-evolution product cycles and anticipation for the Storm Emerald set (expected late August/September) featuring another high-profile Mega, which could further shift collector focus. Historical TCG patterns show chase SIRs often correct after dedicated reprint products arrive, and traders appear to be pricing in that precedent here rather than betting on continued upward momentum.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,118.76.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,118.76.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$2,322Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:40 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes SIR 284/217) has held elite status as the set’s top chase card, trading near or above $1,000 raw in recent weeks amid strong collector demand.** The 74.5% market-implied probability for a price decline by August 31 centers on the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes Tin, which directly injects additional copies of the expansion into circulation. This timing, just days before the resolution date, creates clear near-term supply pressure on a card whose recent sales have already shown signs of softening from earlier peaks. Broader context includes ongoing 2026 mega-evolution product cycles and anticipation for the Storm Emerald set (expected late August/September) featuring another high-profile Mega, which could further shift collector focus. Historical TCG patterns show chase SIRs often correct after dedicated reprint products arrive, and traders appear to be pricing in that precedent here rather than betting on continued upward momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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