Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-03
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-03
$28,614 Vol.
$28,614 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
92%
Partito Democratico
5%
$28,614 Vol.
$28,614 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$6,190 Vol.
92%
Partito Democratico
$22,424 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,614Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,614Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured the nomination unopposed in the March 10, 2026, primary for Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a first-time candidate who also advanced without opposition. This solidly Republican district, rated as such by the Cook Political Report, has consistently delivered large GOP margins—Guest won by over 40 points in recent cycles—bolstering trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory ahead of the November 3 general election. The novice challenger's limited resources and name recognition reinforce the status quo, though late-breaking scandals, Guest's health issues, or a national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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