Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-03
Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari MS-03
$61,800 Vol.
$61,800 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
96%
Partito Democratico
3%
$61,800 Vol.
$61,800 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$22,506 Vol.
96%
Partito Democratico
$39,294 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$61,800Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,800Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Michael Guest holds a commanding position in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles underpin the market’s 95.5% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Guest advanced unopposed through the March primary while Democrat Michael Chiaradio, a political newcomer, secured his party’s nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, major national political shift, or candidate withdrawal—would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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