Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model underpin the market’s strong preference for no release by August 31. Originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, the model remains in partner testing with a “coming soon” status on official DeepMind pages as of mid-August. Recent July updates instead delivered lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has begun on Gemini 4. No credible reporting or company statements indicate an imminent Pro launch in the next two weeks, leaving limited catalysts that could shift the August timeline. Traders appear to price in typical frontier-model slippage and the absence of near-term confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
No release by August 31 85.8%
August 27 5.2%
August 26 3.7%
August 31 3.6%
$267,403 Vol.
$267,403 Vol.
10 ago 2026
August 16
<1%
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
1%
August 25
1%
August 26
4%
August 27
5%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
86%
No release by August 31 85.8%
August 27 5.2%
August 26 3.7%
August 31 3.6%
$267,403 Vol.
$267,403 Vol.
10 ago 2026
August 16
$2,611 Vol.
<1%
August 17
$3,756 Vol.
1%
August 18
$3,980 Vol.
1%
August 19
$3,146 Vol.
1%
August 20
$2,786 Vol.
1%
August 21
$2,259 Vol.
1%
August 22
$2,686 Vol.
<1%
August 23
$1,954 Vol.
1%
August 24
$4,463 Vol.
1%
August 25
$5,389 Vol.
1%
August 26
$4,370 Vol.
4%
August 27
$8,567 Vol.
5%
August 28
$4,001 Vol.
1%
August 29
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
August 30
$2,318 Vol.
1%
August 31
$7,638 Vol.
4%
No release by August 31
$51,114 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model underpin the market’s strong preference for no release by August 31. Originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, the model remains in partner testing with a “coming soon” status on official DeepMind pages as of mid-August. Recent July updates instead delivered lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has begun on Gemini 4. No credible reporting or company statements indicate an imminent Pro launch in the next two weeks, leaving limited catalysts that could shift the August timeline. Traders appear to price in typical frontier-model slippage and the absence of near-term confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$267,403Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model underpin the market’s strong preference for no release by August 31. Originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, the model remains in partner testing with a “coming soon” status on official DeepMind pages as of mid-August. Recent July updates instead delivered lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has begun on Gemini 4. No credible reporting or company statements indicate an imminent Pro launch in the next two weeks, leaving limited catalysts that could shift the August timeline. Traders appear to price in typical frontier-model slippage and the absence of near-term confirmation.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$267,403Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model underpin the market’s strong preference for no release by August 31. Originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, the model remains in partner testing with a “coming soon” status on official DeepMind pages as of mid-August. Recent July updates instead delivered lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite, while training has begun on Gemini 4. No credible reporting or company statements indicate an imminent Pro launch in the next two weeks, leaving limited catalysts that could shift the August timeline. Traders appear to price in typical frontier-model slippage and the absence of near-term confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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