Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's strongly Republican 12th district, combined with its consistent partisan voting history and PVI rating around R+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Balderson secured the GOP primary without opposition, while Democrat Jerrad Christian advanced from a low-turnout May primary in a district where Republicans have routinely prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for late shifts absent extraordinary events. Potential challengers to the current odds include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, an unusually large Democratic national surge, or unforeseen changes in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in central Ohio counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$33,932 Vol.
$33,932 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$24,097 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$9,834 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's strongly Republican 12th district, combined with its consistent partisan voting history and PVI rating around R+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Balderson secured the GOP primary without opposition, while Democrat Jerrad Christian advanced from a low-turnout May primary in a district where Republicans have routinely prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for late shifts absent extraordinary events. Potential challengers to the current odds include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, an unusually large Democratic national surge, or unforeseen changes in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in central Ohio counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,932Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's strongly Republican 12th district, combined with its consistent partisan voting history and PVI rating around R+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Balderson secured the GOP primary without opposition, while Democrat Jerrad Christian advanced from a low-turnout May primary in a district where Republicans have routinely prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for late shifts absent extraordinary events. Potential challengers to the current odds include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, an unusually large Democratic national surge, or unforeseen changes in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in central Ohio counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,932Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Balderson's incumbency in Ohio's strongly Republican 12th district, combined with its consistent partisan voting history and PVI rating around R+15, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Balderson secured the GOP primary without opposition, while Democrat Jerrad Christian advanced from a low-turnout May primary in a district where Republicans have routinely prevailed by double-digit margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for late shifts absent extraordinary events. Potential challengers to the current odds include a major scandal affecting the Republican candidate, an unusually large Democratic national surge, or unforeseen changes in turnout patterns among key voting blocs in central Ohio counties.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti