Olivia Rodrigo’s third album, due June 12, has generated strong pre-release momentum that keeps the 400k–450k and 450k+ first-week brackets nearly tied at 40% and 35.5% implied probability. Traders are weighing the impact of more than three million Spotify pre-saves, an aggressive vinyl-exclusive campaign, and early streaming forecasts that already exceed the 295k–302k pure-sales benchmarks set by Sour and Guts. While fan-driven pure sales and promotional volume point toward a high-end debut, industry trackers note that final chart trajectory will hinge on the strength of lead singles and competition in the June release window, leaving room for the 350k–400k outcome to remain competitive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOlivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?
400k-450k 37%
300k-350k 29%
250k-300k 12%
200k-250k 6.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
<200k
5%
200k-250k
7%
250k-300k
12%
300k-350k
29%
350k-400k
33%
400k-450k
37%
450k+
43%
400k-450k 37%
300k-350k 29%
250k-300k 12%
200k-250k 6.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
<200k
$2,396 Vol.
5%
200k-250k
$353 Vol.
7%
250k-300k
$78 Vol.
12%
300k-350k
$68 Vol.
29%
350k-400k
$78 Vol.
33%
400k-450k
$68 Vol.
37%
450k+
$116 Vol.
43%
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Olivia Rodrigo’s third album, due June 12, has generated strong pre-release momentum that keeps the 400k–450k and 450k+ first-week brackets nearly tied at 40% and 35.5% implied probability. Traders are weighing the impact of more than three million Spotify pre-saves, an aggressive vinyl-exclusive campaign, and early streaming forecasts that already exceed the 295k–302k pure-sales benchmarks set by Sour and Guts. While fan-driven pure sales and promotional volume point toward a high-end debut, industry trackers note that final chart trajectory will hinge on the strength of lead singles and competition in the June release window, leaving room for the 350k–400k outcome to remain competitive.
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volume
$3,158Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Olivia Rodrigo’s third album, due June 12, has generated strong pre-release momentum that keeps the 400k–450k and 450k+ first-week brackets nearly tied at 40% and 35.5% implied probability. Traders are weighing the impact of more than three million Spotify pre-saves, an aggressive vinyl-exclusive campaign, and early streaming forecasts that already exceed the 295k–302k pure-sales benchmarks set by Sour and Guts. While fan-driven pure sales and promotional volume point toward a high-end debut, industry trackers note that final chart trajectory will hinge on the strength of lead singles and competition in the June release window, leaving room for the 350k–400k outcome to remain competitive.
Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$3,158Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Olivia Rodrigo’s third album, due June 12, has generated strong pre-release momentum that keeps the 400k–450k and 450k+ first-week brackets nearly tied at 40% and 35.5% implied probability. Traders are weighing the impact of more than three million Spotify pre-saves, an aggressive vinyl-exclusive campaign, and early streaming forecasts that already exceed the 295k–302k pure-sales benchmarks set by Sour and Guts. While fan-driven pure sales and promotional volume point toward a high-end debut, industry trackers note that final chart trajectory will hinge on the strength of lead singles and competition in the June release window, leaving room for the 350k–400k outcome to remain competitive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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