Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPutin incontra i funzionari iraniani entro il 31 agosto?
Sì
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
Sì
$263,480 Vol.
$263,480 Vol.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Esito proposto: Sì
Contestato
Esito finale: Sì
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Contestato
Esito proposto: Sì
Contestato
Esito finale: Sì
Traders view a Putin meeting with Iranian officials by August 31 as a near-certainty due to confirmed diplomatic momentum, including a late-August phone call between the Russian president and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian that advanced bilateral coordination on energy, trade, and regional security. Strong Russia-Iran ties, reinforced by the comprehensive strategic partnership and shared interests amid Middle East tensions, made sideline discussions at the SCO summit highly probable. Public schedules and official statements reflected this consensus well before the deadline. Even at 100% implied probability, an unforeseen cancellation from health issues, sudden security threats, or last-minute venue changes could have shifted the result, though none occurred.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti