SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, followed by sharp post-listing volatility and a recent rebound near $1.9 trillion market cap, frames trader sentiment for its October 2026 close. Starlink connectivity delivered the bulk of 2025's $18.7 billion revenue and operating profits, while heavy AI infrastructure capex drove net losses and elevated burn rates. Morgan Stanley and other analysts highlight 70%+ revenue growth potential and orbital compute upside, yet lock-up expirations, execution risks on Starship, and competition temper conviction. With probabilities spread across multiple brackets around current levels, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether near-term catalysts like subscriber gains or contracts can sustain multiples above 50x sales before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,75-$2,00T 31%
2,25T+ 30%
1,50-1,75 T$ 20%
2,00-2,25 T$ 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
<1,00T
6%
1,00-1,25 T$
5%
$1,25-$1,50T
11%
1,50-1,75 T$
20%
$1,75-$2,00T
31%
2,00-2,25 T$
14%
2,25T+
30%
$1,75-$2,00T 31%
2,25T+ 30%
1,50-1,75 T$ 20%
2,00-2,25 T$ 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ott 2026
<1,00T
$0 Vol.
6%
1,00-1,25 T$
$0 Vol.
5%
$1,25-$1,50T
$21 Vol.
11%
1,50-1,75 T$
$0 Vol.
20%
$1,75-$2,00T
$0 Vol.
31%
2,00-2,25 T$
$0 Vol.
14%
2,25T+
$1,426 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, followed by sharp post-listing volatility and a recent rebound near $1.9 trillion market cap, frames trader sentiment for its October 2026 close. Starlink connectivity delivered the bulk of 2025's $18.7 billion revenue and operating profits, while heavy AI infrastructure capex drove net losses and elevated burn rates. Morgan Stanley and other analysts highlight 70%+ revenue growth potential and orbital compute upside, yet lock-up expirations, execution risks on Starship, and competition temper conviction. With probabilities spread across multiple brackets around current levels, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether near-term catalysts like subscriber gains or contracts can sustain multiples above 50x sales before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, followed by sharp post-listing volatility and a recent rebound near $1.9 trillion market cap, frames trader sentiment for its October 2026 close. Starlink connectivity delivered the bulk of 2025's $18.7 billion revenue and operating profits, while heavy AI infrastructure capex drove net losses and elevated burn rates. Morgan Stanley and other analysts highlight 70%+ revenue growth potential and orbital compute upside, yet lock-up expirations, execution risks on Starship, and competition temper conviction. With probabilities spread across multiple brackets around current levels, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether near-term catalysts like subscriber gains or contracts can sustain multiples above 50x sales before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, followed by sharp post-listing volatility and a recent rebound near $1.9 trillion market cap, frames trader sentiment for its October 2026 close. Starlink connectivity delivered the bulk of 2025's $18.7 billion revenue and operating profits, while heavy AI infrastructure capex drove net losses and elevated burn rates. Morgan Stanley and other analysts highlight 70%+ revenue growth potential and orbital compute upside, yet lock-up expirations, execution risks on Starship, and competition temper conviction. With probabilities spread across multiple brackets around current levels, the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether near-term catalysts like subscriber gains or contracts can sustain multiples above 50x sales before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
23%
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of August 2026?
82%
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Alphabet sarà compresa tra 4,00 e 4,50 trilioni di dollari alla fine di ottobre 2026?
46%
Sì
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