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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2
Mondo·Tonga

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2
Mondo·Tonga

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2

Lei Paasi 32%

Samiuela Vea 29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lei Paasi 32%

Samiuela Vea 29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%

Alvin Lafu Sika 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Lei Paasi

$29 Vol.

32%

Samiuela Vea

$29 Vol.

29%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Vol.

28%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Vol.

26%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Vol.

26%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Vol.

24%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Vol.

24%

Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Vol.

24%

Mounu Uaisele

$349 Vol.

10%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The crowded field of nine candidates for the Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October has produced closely matched probabilities, reflecting vote fragmentation in Tonga’s first-past-the-post system. The vacancy arose after Semisi Sika was unseated by parliament following his 2025 election conviction on bribery and campaign finance violations, with the prior incumbent ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi opting not to stand. Recent nominations on 2–3 September confirmed a split among local contenders including Malakai Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele ‘Amanaki, and Mounu Uaisele, with some prospective entrants withdrawing to consolidate support behind others. Absent recent polling data or dominant endorsements, trader consensus shows no single frontrunner, leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to shift the outcome.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$582
Data di fine
8 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The crowded field of nine candidates for the Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October has produced closely matched probabilities, reflecting vote fragmentation in Tonga’s first-past-the-post system. The vacancy arose after Semisi Sika was unseated by parliament following his 2025 election conviction on bribery and campaign finance violations, with the prior incumbent ‘Uhilamoelangi Fasi opting not to stand. Recent nominations on 2–3 September confirmed a split among local contenders including Malakai Koloamatangi, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, Mele ‘Amanaki, and Mounu Uaisele, with some prospective entrants withdrawing to consolidate support behind others. Absent recent polling data or dominant endorsements, trader consensus shows no single frontrunner, leaving room for late campaign developments or turnout patterns to shift the outcome.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$582
Data di fine
8 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lei Paasi" a 32%, seguito da "Samiuela Vea" a 29%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 32¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 9, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" è "Lei Paasi" a 32%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 32% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Samiuela Vea" a 29%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Tongatapu 2" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.