Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3
Mondo·Samoa

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3
Mondo·Samoa

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$0 Vol.

43%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa remains highly uncertain following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that voided the May 1 result after finding both leading contenders guilty of corrupt practices, triggering a fresh contest under Samoa's party-hopping laws. Multiple independents and party-nominated candidates, including returning figures associated with FAST and HRPP, compete amid local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, and economic pressures. This fragmentation, combined with the short timeline and absence of dominant polling or endorsements, sustains broad trader consensus around even odds for numerous options, with separation likely hinging on nomination finalization, campaign focus on constituency service, or any further legal or procedural developments before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
18 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa remains highly uncertain following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that voided the May 1 result after finding both leading contenders guilty of corrupt practices, triggering a fresh contest under Samoa's party-hopping laws. Multiple independents and party-nominated candidates, including returning figures associated with FAST and HRPP, compete amid local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, and economic pressures. This fragmentation, combined with the short timeline and absence of dominant polling or endorsements, sustains broad trader consensus around even odds for numerous options, with separation likely hinging on nomination finalization, campaign focus on constituency service, or any further legal or procedural developments before polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
18 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

Correlati

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu vincerà le elezioni suppletive di Falealili 1?

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu vincerà le elezioni suppletive di Falealili 1?

28%
Sì
icon for Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

62%
icon for L'Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari lettoni del 2026?

L'Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari lettoni del 2026?

75%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" a 44%, seguito da "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3" è "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive Vaimauga 3" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.