Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows New Zealand First consistently recording 9–12 percent support, placing the party ahead of the Greens and smaller competitors in most surveys released over the past month. This positioning reflects sustained voter interest in Winston Peters’ platform amid coalition government dynamics, while Labour and National remain locked in a contest for first place. The Greens, polling in the 9–11 percent range with a recently released candidate list emphasizing Māori representation, retain meaningful upside potential that traders price at 26 percent. National and ACT, both expected to finish higher or lower depending on turnout among their bases, trade at single digits as third-place outcomes appear structurally constrained by current trends. Te Pāti Māori and Labour trail far behind, with limited pathways to reach third under prevailing vote shares.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 41%
Green Party 8%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 7.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 nov 2026
New Zealand First Party
58%
Green Party
26%
National Party
7%
ACT New Zealand
7%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party
1%
New Zealand First Party 41%
Green Party 8%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 7.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 nov 2026
New Zealand First Party
$278 Vol.
58%
Green Party
$343 Vol.
26%
National Party
$144 Vol.
7%
ACT New Zealand
$298 Vol.
7%
Te Pāti Māori
$246 Vol.
1%
Labour Party
$367 Vol.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows New Zealand First consistently recording 9–12 percent support, placing the party ahead of the Greens and smaller competitors in most surveys released over the past month. This positioning reflects sustained voter interest in Winston Peters’ platform amid coalition government dynamics, while Labour and National remain locked in a contest for first place. The Greens, polling in the 9–11 percent range with a recently released candidate list emphasizing Māori representation, retain meaningful upside potential that traders price at 26 percent. National and ACT, both expected to finish higher or lower depending on turnout among their bases, trade at single digits as third-place outcomes appear structurally constrained by current trends. Te Pāti Māori and Labour trail far behind, with limited pathways to reach third under prevailing vote shares.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$1,675Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows New Zealand First consistently recording 9–12 percent support, placing the party ahead of the Greens and smaller competitors in most surveys released over the past month. This positioning reflects sustained voter interest in Winston Peters’ platform amid coalition government dynamics, while Labour and National remain locked in a contest for first place. The Greens, polling in the 9–11 percent range with a recently released candidate list emphasizing Māori representation, retain meaningful upside potential that traders price at 26 percent. National and ACT, both expected to finish higher or lower depending on turnout among their bases, trade at single digits as third-place outcomes appear structurally constrained by current trends. Te Pāti Māori and Labour trail far behind, with limited pathways to reach third under prevailing vote shares.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$1,675Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows New Zealand First consistently recording 9–12 percent support, placing the party ahead of the Greens and smaller competitors in most surveys released over the past month. This positioning reflects sustained voter interest in Winston Peters’ platform amid coalition government dynamics, while Labour and National remain locked in a contest for first place. The Greens, polling in the 9–11 percent range with a recently released candidate list emphasizing Māori representation, retain meaningful upside potential that traders price at 26 percent. National and ACT, both expected to finish higher or lower depending on turnout among their bases, trade at single digits as third-place outcomes appear structurally constrained by current trends. Te Pāti Māori and Labour trail far behind, with limited pathways to reach third under prevailing vote shares.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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