Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the mixed-member proportional system show the Labour Party leading the party vote, yet the National Party consistently registers the second-highest share. This positioning reflects National’s role as the primary challenger to the incumbent coalition amid softening economic indicators and coalition partner tensions. Labour’s gains have narrowed National’s lead without elevating minor parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, ACT, or Te Pāti Māori into contention for second. Traders therefore price National as the clear frontrunner for second place, with Labour a distant but credible alternative should current trends intensify before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 64%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 20.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 nov 2026
National Party
64%
Labour Party
24%
New Zealand First Party
22%
Green Party
20%
ACT New Zealand
18%
Te Pāti Māori
14%
National Party 64%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 20.3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 nov 2026
National Party
$74 Vol.
64%
Labour Party
$78 Vol.
24%
New Zealand First Party
$46 Vol.
22%
Green Party
$35 Vol.
20%
ACT New Zealand
$35 Vol.
18%
Te Pāti Māori
$35 Vol.
14%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the mixed-member proportional system show the Labour Party leading the party vote, yet the National Party consistently registers the second-highest share. This positioning reflects National’s role as the primary challenger to the incumbent coalition amid softening economic indicators and coalition partner tensions. Labour’s gains have narrowed National’s lead without elevating minor parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, ACT, or Te Pāti Māori into contention for second. Traders therefore price National as the clear frontrunner for second place, with Labour a distant but credible alternative should current trends intensify before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercato aperto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$304Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the mixed-member proportional system show the Labour Party leading the party vote, yet the National Party consistently registers the second-highest share. This positioning reflects National’s role as the primary challenger to the incumbent coalition amid softening economic indicators and coalition partner tensions. Labour’s gains have narrowed National’s lead without elevating minor parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, ACT, or Te Pāti Māori into contention for second. Traders therefore price National as the clear frontrunner for second place, with Labour a distant but credible alternative should current trends intensify before election day.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$304Data di fine
7 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election under the mixed-member proportional system show the Labour Party leading the party vote, yet the National Party consistently registers the second-highest share. This positioning reflects National’s role as the primary challenger to the incumbent coalition amid softening economic indicators and coalition partner tensions. Labour’s gains have narrowed National’s lead without elevating minor parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, ACT, or Te Pāti Māori into contention for second. Traders therefore price National as the clear frontrunner for second place, with Labour a distant but credible alternative should current trends intensify before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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