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Mondo·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mondo·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Domande frequenti

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Guillaume Langlois" a 45%, seguito da "Jérôme Gagnon" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è "Guillaume Langlois" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jérôme Gagnon" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.