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Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Chloé Fauchon 83%

Marc-Antoine Bernier 43%

Richard Bélanger 27%

Anne-Sophie Roy 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Chloé Fauchon 83%

Marc-Antoine Bernier 43%

Richard Bélanger 27%

Anne-Sophie Roy 25%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$3 Vol.

61%

icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois leads the Louis-Hébert market at 60.5% implied probability amid a competitive provincial race heading into the October 5, 2026, general election. Trader positioning reflects PQ momentum in Quebec City-area ridings, where Fauchon’s candidacy—announced in March with emphasis on housing affordability, school capacity, and public services—has capitalized on broader polling gains for her party against the incumbent CAQ. Marc-Antoine Bernier (CAQ) trails at 42.5%, consistent with models showing a toss-up between the two amid shifting voter preferences, while lower-priced options such as Richard Bélanger (Liberal), Anne-Sophie Roy (Québec solidaire), and Marcos Archambault (Conservative) remain secondary due to weaker projected support in the riding.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois leads the Louis-Hébert market at 60.5% implied probability amid a competitive provincial race heading into the October 5, 2026, general election. Trader positioning reflects PQ momentum in Quebec City-area ridings, where Fauchon’s candidacy—announced in March with emphasis on housing affordability, school capacity, and public services—has capitalized on broader polling gains for her party against the incumbent CAQ. Marc-Antoine Bernier (CAQ) trails at 42.5%, consistent with models showing a toss-up between the two amid shifting voter preferences, while lower-priced options such as Richard Bélanger (Liberal), Anne-Sophie Roy (Québec solidaire), and Marcos Archambault (Conservative) remain secondary due to weaker projected support in the riding.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Domande frequenti

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Chloé Fauchon" a 61%, seguito da "Marc-Antoine Bernier" a 43%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 61¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" è "Chloé Fauchon" a 61%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 61% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Marc-Antoine Bernier" a 43%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.