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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$25 Vol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$25
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$25
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Eric Girard" a 45%, seguito da "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" a 44%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" è "Eric Girard" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" a 44%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale di Groulx Quebec" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.