The tight contest between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with a recent University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead 48-45 among likely Republican voters, has intensified get-out-the-vote operations and attack advertising on both sides ahead of the May 26 runoff. This dynamic, absent a decisive endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among rural conservative and suburban establishment blocs while keeping overall participation in check. Historical patterns of sharp drop-off from the high-turnout March primary further anchor trader expectations around moderate levels in the 1.2–1.5 million range. Early voting beginning May 18 could still shift outcomes if mobilization efforts exceed typical runoff benchmarks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAffluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano
Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano
1,2–1,5M 26.4%
0,9–1,2M 19%
1,8–2,1M 17.3%
0,6–0,9M 11%
$89,047 Vol.
$89,047 Vol.
26 mag 2026
<0,6M
3%
0,6–0,9M
11%
0,9–1,2M
19%
1,2–1,5M
35%
1,5–1,8M
10%
1,8–2,1M
17%
2,1–2,4M
1%
2,4–2,7M
1%
2,7M+
1%
1,2–1,5M 26.4%
0,9–1,2M 19%
1,8–2,1M 17.3%
0,6–0,9M 11%
$89,047 Vol.
$89,047 Vol.
26 mag 2026
<0,6M
$998 Vol.
3%
0,6–0,9M
$53,297 Vol.
11%
0,9–1,2M
$1,101 Vol.
19%
1,2–1,5M
$24,788 Vol.
35%
1,5–1,8M
$576 Vol.
10%
1,8–2,1M
$1,739 Vol.
17%
2,1–2,4M
$2,047 Vol.
1%
2,4–2,7M
$2,809 Vol.
1%
2,7M+
$1,693 Vol.
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The tight contest between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with a recent University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead 48-45 among likely Republican voters, has intensified get-out-the-vote operations and attack advertising on both sides ahead of the May 26 runoff. This dynamic, absent a decisive endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among rural conservative and suburban establishment blocs while keeping overall participation in check. Historical patterns of sharp drop-off from the high-turnout March primary further anchor trader expectations around moderate levels in the 1.2–1.5 million range. Early voting beginning May 18 could still shift outcomes if mobilization efforts exceed typical runoff benchmarks.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$89,047Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The tight contest between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with a recent University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead 48-45 among likely Republican voters, has intensified get-out-the-vote operations and attack advertising on both sides ahead of the May 26 runoff. This dynamic, absent a decisive endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among rural conservative and suburban establishment blocs while keeping overall participation in check. Historical patterns of sharp drop-off from the high-turnout March primary further anchor trader expectations around moderate levels in the 1.2–1.5 million range. Early voting beginning May 18 could still shift outcomes if mobilization efforts exceed typical runoff benchmarks.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$89,047Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, with a recent University of Houston poll showing Paxton ahead 48-45 among likely Republican voters, has intensified get-out-the-vote operations and attack advertising on both sides ahead of the May 26 runoff. This dynamic, absent a decisive endorsement from President Trump, has consolidated support among rural conservative and suburban establishment blocs while keeping overall participation in check. Historical patterns of sharp drop-off from the high-turnout March primary further anchor trader expectations around moderate levels in the 1.2–1.5 million range. Early voting beginning May 18 could still shift outcomes if mobilization efforts exceed typical runoff benchmarks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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