Traders have assigned the highest probability to a Talarico-Paxton matchup in the Texas Senate election because James Talarico has consolidated support among Democratic primary voters while Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn in early Republican primary positioning. Talarico’s profile as a state representative has positioned him ahead of other Democratic contenders such as Jasmine Crockett, and Paxton’s appeal to the conservative base has created a viable primary challenge to the incumbent Cornyn. Market pricing shows these two pairings capturing nearly all implied probability, with alternative combinations remaining near zero, consistent with current primary dynamics and candidate momentum in Texas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMatchup per le elezioni del Senato del Texas
Matchup per le elezioni del Senato del Texas
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,479 Vol.
$721,479 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
38%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett e Paxton
<1%
Crockett e Cornyn
<1%
Altro
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 63%
Talarico & Cornyn 38%
Crockett & Hunt <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
$721,479 Vol.
$721,479 Vol.
3 mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$275,339 Vol.
63%
Talarico & Cornyn
$197,112 Vol.
38%
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 Vol.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$24,058 Vol.
<1%
Crockett e Paxton
$107,066 Vol.
<1%
Crockett e Cornyn
$65,651 Vol.
<1%
Altro
$27,524 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Traders have assigned the highest probability to a Talarico-Paxton matchup in the Texas Senate election because James Talarico has consolidated support among Democratic primary voters while Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn in early Republican primary positioning. Talarico’s profile as a state representative has positioned him ahead of other Democratic contenders such as Jasmine Crockett, and Paxton’s appeal to the conservative base has created a viable primary challenge to the incumbent Cornyn. Market pricing shows these two pairings capturing nearly all implied probability, with alternative combinations remaining near zero, consistent with current primary dynamics and candidate momentum in Texas.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volume
$721,479Data di fine
3 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Traders have assigned the highest probability to a Talarico-Paxton matchup in the Texas Senate election because James Talarico has consolidated support among Democratic primary voters while Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn in early Republican primary positioning. Talarico’s profile as a state representative has positioned him ahead of other Democratic contenders such as Jasmine Crockett, and Paxton’s appeal to the conservative base has created a viable primary challenge to the incumbent Cornyn. Market pricing shows these two pairings capturing nearly all implied probability, with alternative combinations remaining near zero, consistent with current primary dynamics and candidate momentum in Texas.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$721,479Data di fine
3 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have assigned the highest probability to a Talarico-Paxton matchup in the Texas Senate election because James Talarico has consolidated support among Democratic primary voters while Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn in early Republican primary positioning. Talarico’s profile as a state representative has positioned him ahead of other Democratic contenders such as Jasmine Crockett, and Paxton’s appeal to the conservative base has created a viable primary challenge to the incumbent Cornyn. Market pricing shows these two pairings capturing nearly all implied probability, with alternative combinations remaining near zero, consistent with current primary dynamics and candidate momentum in Texas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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