US-Iran negotiations remain stalled as the June memorandum of understanding faces expiration of its associated ceasefire around mid-August, with no direct bilateral sessions confirmed since technical talks in Switzerland in late June. Iran’s foreign ministry has repeatedly denied ongoing direct contacts with Washington, stating that discussions are limited to Oman over Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, while President Trump has described talks as proceeding at a low level or requiring compensation and sanctions pressure. Internal Iranian divisions, including competing factions within the leadership and the IRGC, continue to complicate consensus on any broader deal involving nuclear issues, asset releases, or regional deconfliction. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan have circulated draft proposals, but progress hinges on whether the expiring ceasefire or new diplomatic signals prompt a round before the August 31 window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$89,554 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
44%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Jared Kushner
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Esmail Qaani
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Pete Hegseth
4%
J.D. Vance
4%
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
$89,554 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
44%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,296 Vol.
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,880 Vol.
12%
Steve Witkoff
$12,535 Vol.
12%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
11%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,577 Vol.
11%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
11%
Esmail Qaani
$401 Vol.
10%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
9%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
J.D. Vance
$10,703 Vol.
4%
Donald Trump
$6,184 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
3%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$14 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled as the June memorandum of understanding faces expiration of its associated ceasefire around mid-August, with no direct bilateral sessions confirmed since technical talks in Switzerland in late June. Iran’s foreign ministry has repeatedly denied ongoing direct contacts with Washington, stating that discussions are limited to Oman over Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, while President Trump has described talks as proceeding at a low level or requiring compensation and sanctions pressure. Internal Iranian divisions, including competing factions within the leadership and the IRGC, continue to complicate consensus on any broader deal involving nuclear issues, asset releases, or regional deconfliction. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan have circulated draft proposals, but progress hinges on whether the expiring ceasefire or new diplomatic signals prompt a round before the August 31 window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$89,554Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations remain stalled as the June memorandum of understanding faces expiration of its associated ceasefire around mid-August, with no direct bilateral sessions confirmed since technical talks in Switzerland in late June. Iran’s foreign ministry has repeatedly denied ongoing direct contacts with Washington, stating that discussions are limited to Oman over Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, while President Trump has described talks as proceeding at a low level or requiring compensation and sanctions pressure. Internal Iranian divisions, including competing factions within the leadership and the IRGC, continue to complicate consensus on any broader deal involving nuclear issues, asset releases, or regional deconfliction. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan have circulated draft proposals, but progress hinges on whether the expiring ceasefire or new diplomatic signals prompt a round before the August 31 window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$89,554Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations remain stalled as the June memorandum of understanding faces expiration of its associated ceasefire around mid-August, with no direct bilateral sessions confirmed since technical talks in Switzerland in late June. Iran’s foreign ministry has repeatedly denied ongoing direct contacts with Washington, stating that discussions are limited to Oman over Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, while President Trump has described talks as proceeding at a low level or requiring compensation and sanctions pressure. Internal Iranian divisions, including competing factions within the leadership and the IRGC, continue to complicate consensus on any broader deal involving nuclear issues, asset releases, or regional deconfliction. Mediators such as Qatar and Pakistan have circulated draft proposals, but progress hinges on whether the expiring ceasefire or new diplomatic signals prompt a round before the August 31 window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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