US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements on direct negotiations in recent weeks, with President Trump asserting that talks remain underway while Iranian spokesmen deny immediate plans for engagement and accuse Washington of violating the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum. Mediation efforts by Pakistan, including recent meetings in Tehran, and ongoing Iran-Oman discussions over Strait of Hormuz access continue amid stalled implementation of the MOU's 60-day negotiation window. Earlier technical sessions occurred in Doha and Switzerland, yet broader peace talks have not resumed following July escalations and the breakdown of the prior ceasefire. These diplomatic frictions, combined with the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether another round will convene.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$90,016 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Nick Stewart
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
32%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
10%
Steve Witkoff
9%
Ishaq Dar
9%
Jared Kushner
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
J.D. Vance
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,016 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
32%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,577 Vol.
11%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,891 Vol.
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,327 Vol.
10%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 Vol.
9%
Ishaq Dar
$2,622 Vol.
9%
Jared Kushner
$13,340 Vol.
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 Vol.
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump
$6,341 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
4%
J.D. Vance
$10,803 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$456 Vol.
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements on direct negotiations in recent weeks, with President Trump asserting that talks remain underway while Iranian spokesmen deny immediate plans for engagement and accuse Washington of violating the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum. Mediation efforts by Pakistan, including recent meetings in Tehran, and ongoing Iran-Oman discussions over Strait of Hormuz access continue amid stalled implementation of the MOU's 60-day negotiation window. Earlier technical sessions occurred in Doha and Switzerland, yet broader peace talks have not resumed following July escalations and the breakdown of the prior ceasefire. These diplomatic frictions, combined with the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether another round will convene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$90,016Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements on direct negotiations in recent weeks, with President Trump asserting that talks remain underway while Iranian spokesmen deny immediate plans for engagement and accuse Washington of violating the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum. Mediation efforts by Pakistan, including recent meetings in Tehran, and ongoing Iran-Oman discussions over Strait of Hormuz access continue amid stalled implementation of the MOU's 60-day negotiation window. Earlier technical sessions occurred in Doha and Switzerland, yet broader peace talks have not resumed following July escalations and the breakdown of the prior ceasefire. These diplomatic frictions, combined with the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether another round will convene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$90,016Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements on direct negotiations in recent weeks, with President Trump asserting that talks remain underway while Iranian spokesmen deny immediate plans for engagement and accuse Washington of violating the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum. Mediation efforts by Pakistan, including recent meetings in Tehran, and ongoing Iran-Oman discussions over Strait of Hormuz access continue amid stalled implementation of the MOU's 60-day negotiation window. Earlier technical sessions occurred in Doha and Switzerland, yet broader peace talks have not resumed following July escalations and the breakdown of the prior ceasefire. These diplomatic frictions, combined with the approaching August 31 deadline, shape trader assessments of whether another round will convene.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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