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icon for Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?
Politica·Nazioni Unite

Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

icon for Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?
Politica·Nazioni Unite

Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

Rafael Grossi 49%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.1%

Michelle Bachelet 12.8%

Rebeca Grynspan 9.5%

Polymarket

$60,733 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 49%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 23.1%

Michelle Bachelet 12.8%

Rebeca Grynspan 9.5%

Polymarket

$60,733 Vol.

Rafael Grossi

$20,380 Vol.

40%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$1,901 Vol.

23%

Michelle Bachelet

$19,938 Vol.

13%

Rebeca Grynspan

$3,075 Vol.

14%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,196 Vol.

3%

Bruno Donat

$1,580 Vol.

1%

David Choquehuanca

$1,708 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$1,679 Vol.

<1%

Mia Mottley

$1,180 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$1,814 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$1,029 Vol.

<1%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,071 Vol.

<1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,003 Vol.

<1%

Achim Steiner

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for the next United Nations Secretary-General, reflecting his established profile as IAEA Director General and recent interactive dialogues with member states in April 2026 that showcased his crisis-management record on nuclear issues and Ukraine. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés rose sharply after her nomination on 11 May 2026 by Antigua and Barbuda, highlighting Latin American regional support and fresh momentum in the process that formally opened in late 2025. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet remain competitive on reform and gender-equality platforms, yet the Security Council’s closed-door straw polls scheduled for July will determine which candidates advance toward General Assembly appointment for the term beginning January 2027.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,733
Data di fine
28 feb 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for the next United Nations Secretary-General, reflecting his established profile as IAEA Director General and recent interactive dialogues with member states in April 2026 that showcased his crisis-management record on nuclear issues and Ukraine. Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés rose sharply after her nomination on 11 May 2026 by Antigua and Barbuda, highlighting Latin American regional support and fresh momentum in the process that formally opened in late 2025. Rebeca Grynspan and Michelle Bachelet remain competitive on reform and gender-equality platforms, yet the Security Council’s closed-door straw polls scheduled for July will determine which candidates advance toward General Assembly appointment for the term beginning January 2027.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,733
Data di fine
28 feb 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael Grossi" a 40%, seguito da "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" ha generato $60.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 12, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" è "Rafael Grossi" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.