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icon for Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

icon for Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.4%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%

Rafael Grossi 30%

Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

Michelle Bachelet 3.4%

Polymarket

$80,086 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan

$4,573 Vol.

45%

Rafael Grossi

$22,300 Vol.

30%

Jacinda Ardern

$1,875 Vol.

4%

Michelle Bachelet

$26,540 Vol.

3%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$3,039 Vol.

2%

Kristalina Georgieva

$1,912 Vol.

1%

Bruno Donat

$2,417 Vol.

1%

Amina Mohammed

$3,899 Vol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$2,035 Vol.

<1%

Alicia Bárcena

$2,096 Vol.

<1%

David Choquehuanca

$2,099 Vol.

<1%

Vuk Jeremić

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$2,679 Vol.

36%

Achim Steiner

$2,551 Vol.

36%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General market at 45% amid a tight contest shaped by informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American successor to António Guterres after his term ends December 2026. Her frontrunner status stems from topping early “encourage” tallies in member-state soundings, her UNCTAD role providing continuity appeal, and recent interactive dialogues that highlighted her platform on peace infrastructure and institutional reform. Closely matched challengers like Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Achim Steiner reflect ongoing geopolitical jockeying and uncertainty over Security Council straw polls, while lower-priced names such as Rafael Grossi underscore how veto dynamics or late shifts in backing could still separate the field before a late-2026 decision.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Data di fine
28 feb 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment in the UN Secretary-General market at 45% amid a tight contest shaped by informal regional rotation favoring a Latin American successor to António Guterres after his term ends December 2026. Her frontrunner status stems from topping early “encourage” tallies in member-state soundings, her UNCTAD role providing continuity appeal, and recent interactive dialogues that highlighted her platform on peace infrastructure and institutional reform. Closely matched challengers like Colombe Cahen-Salvador and Achim Steiner reflect ongoing geopolitical jockeying and uncertainty over Security Council straw polls, while lower-priced names such as Rafael Grossi underscore how veto dynamics or late shifts in backing could still separate the field before a late-2026 decision.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,086
Data di fine
28 feb 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rebeca Grynspan" a 45%, seguito da "Colombe Cahen-Salvador" a 36%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" ha generato $80.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 11, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" è "Rebeca Grynspan" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Colombe Cahen-Salvador" a 36%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi sarà il prossimo Segretario Generale delle Nazioni Unite?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.