Islam Makhachev holds the UFC Welterweight title after claiming it in late 2025 with a dominant performance over Jack Della Maddalena, giving him a commanding edge in the market's implied probabilities for retention through the end of 2026. The division's depth features emerging contenders such as Carlos Prates, Michael Morales, and Ian Machado Garry, each building momentum through recent wins, but Makhachev's experience, finishing ability, and planned title defense timeline position him as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. Potential challengers like Shavkat Rakhmonov or returning veterans face hurdles in securing and winning high-stakes bouts against the champion, while lower-probability names reflect limited immediate paths to the belt in the coming months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIslam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 13.0%
Michael Morales 6.0%
$40,316 Vol.
$40,316 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
6%
Sean Brady
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 81%
Carlos Prates 19.9%
Ian Machado Garry 13.0%
Michael Morales 6.0%
$40,316 Vol.
$40,316 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
81%
Carlos Prates
19%
Ian Machado Garry
15%
Michael Morales
6%
Sean Brady
1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the UFC Welterweight title after claiming it in late 2025 with a dominant performance over Jack Della Maddalena, giving him a commanding edge in the market's implied probabilities for retention through the end of 2026. The division's depth features emerging contenders such as Carlos Prates, Michael Morales, and Ian Machado Garry, each building momentum through recent wins, but Makhachev's experience, finishing ability, and planned title defense timeline position him as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. Potential challengers like Shavkat Rakhmonov or returning veterans face hurdles in securing and winning high-stakes bouts against the champion, while lower-probability names reflect limited immediate paths to the belt in the coming months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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