This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Jun 19 2026
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman congratulates Pakistan PM on U.S.-Iran peace deal
Mohammed bin Salman dips to 5%1%
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman expressed support for the U.S.-Iran peace agreement and praised Pakistan's mediation efforts. This endorsement slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 18 2026
Trump envoy Steve Witkoff briefs US Congress on Iran deal details including nuclear inspections
Steve Witkoff plunges to 3%42%
Witkoff revealed that Iran will invite the IAEA to inspect nuclear sites, indicating ongoing cooperation post-deal; his role as special envoy was critical but he was not a signatory, reflected in low market prices.
Jun 18 2026
Marco Rubio remains silent amid growing criticism of Iran deal
Secretary of State Marco Rubio maintained a low profile as criticism of the Iran deal intensified, signaling political caution. This sustained low market confidence in Rubio as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discusses US-Iran ceasefire and regional stability with French President Macron
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 8%37%
Sheikh Tamim's diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts were recognized as important for regional peace, though he was not a signatory, reflected in low market confidence.
Jun 17 2026
White House explores meeting to revive U.S.-Iran negotiations
Abbas Araghchi drops to 11%14%
The White House considered a meeting between envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi to revive negotiations and prevent further conflict, indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts. This maintained market uncertainty for Araghchi as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
U.S. and Iran sign initial deal at Palace of Versailles, Trump physically signs and hands pen to Rubio
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 14%76%
President Donald Trump signed the U.S.-Iran agreement at the Palace of Versailles in France, handing the document and pen to Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf also signed the deal digitally. This event confirmed Ghalibaf as the signatory and caused a sharp drop in confidence for other potential signatories.
Jun 17 2026
Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian sign US-Iran peace memorandum at Versailles
Marco Rubio plunges to 7%39%
President Trump signed the peace deal at the Palace of Versailles, handing the document to Secretary of State Marco Rubio, while Iranian President Pezeshkian signed in Tehran, confirming the deal's execution.
Jun 17 2026
Democrats demand briefing from Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum
Top Democrats requested an immediate briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the memorandum of understanding with Iran, highlighting political scrutiny and pressure. This event contributed to market skepticism about Rubio's role as a signatory.
Jun 17 2026
Top Democrats demand briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding
Marco Rubio plunges to 11%35%
Congressional Democrats requested a briefing from Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding, reflecting scrutiny and skepticism about the deal. Rubio's role as Secretary of State and his involvement in the deal affected market confidence in him as a signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials express skepticism over Iran deal
Marco Rubio dips to 9%2%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other U.S. officials voiced doubts about Iran's commitment to the memorandum of understanding, reflecting internal U.S. skepticism. This caused a decline in market confidence for Rubio as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Saudi Cabinet chaired by Mohammed bin Salman welcomes US-Iran agreement
Mohammed bin Salman plunges to 5%41%
Saudi Arabia's official support for the US-Iran deal slightly increased market confidence in Mohammed bin Salman as a potential signatory.
Jun 16 2026
Qatar Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Trump discuss regional tensions and diplomatic efforts
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani plunges to 25%20%
Qatari Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani and U.S. President Donald Trump discussed regional developments and efforts to maintain peace and security, including support for diplomatic efforts led by Pakistan to prevent escalation between the U.S. and Iran. This reinforced market confidence in Sheikh Tamim as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes U.S.-Iran deal, distances himself from signing
Benjamin Netanyahu plunges to 8%37%
Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, emphasizing Israel is not a signatory and distancing himself from Trump's decision to sign it. This opposition contributed to a decline in market confidence for Netanyahu as a potential signatory.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. Vice President JD Vance announces digital signing of U.S.-Iran memorandum
Abbas Araghchi plunges to 11%24%
JD Vance announced that the memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran was digitally signed, confirming the deal's formalization. This event caused a sharp drop in confidence for Abbas Araghchi and Marco Rubio as signatories, while Ghalibaf's probability fluctuated.
Jun 15 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace agreement, signing planned for Friday
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf plunges to 11%34%
A memorandum of understanding was announced to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with signing scheduled, increasing market confidence in key signatories.
Jun 14 2026
U.S. and Iran reach preliminary peace deal, signing planned for June 19
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf surges to 90%39%
The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland. This boosted market confidence in Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf as the lead Iranian negotiator expected to sign the deal.
Jun 12 2026
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi signals deal with U.S. 'never been closer'
Abbas Araghchi surges to 82%37%
Araghchi's positive comments on the proximity of a deal boosted market optimism for his signing potential, though skepticism remained about final agreement details.
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Domande frequenti
"Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Masoud Pezeshkian" a 100%, seguito da "Shehbaz Sharif" a 100%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" ha generato $971.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" è "Masoud Pezeshkian" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Shehbaz Sharif" a 100%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $971.4K scambiati su "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 100¢ per "Masoud Pezeshkian" nel mercato "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 100% che "Masoud Pezeshkian" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 100¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 0¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Jul 31, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?" ha una comunità attiva di 48 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Chi firmerà l'accordo USA x Iran?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti