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Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?

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Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?

NUOVO
7 lug 2026
Polymarket

$8,517 Vol.

Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi

$211 Vol.

90%

Sceicco Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$0 Vol.

43%

Shehbaz Sharif

$565 Vol.

76%

Steve Witkoff

$147 Vol.

79%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$279 Vol.

13%

Re Abdullah II

$830 Vol.

11%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$322 Vol.

22%

Mohammed bin Salman

$805 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$350 Vol.

8%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$338 Vol.

26%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$156 Vol.

21%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$503 Vol.

2%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$331 Vol.

14%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$556 Vol.

2%

Pete Hegseth

$376 Vol.

5%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$280 Vol.

22%

JD Vance

$545 Vol.

89%

Donald Trump

$1,562 Vol.

12%

Jared Kushner

$100 Vol.

72%

Elon Musk

$260 Vol.

2%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A preliminary memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran was reached in mid-June 2026, with virtual signatures executed electronically by President Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The framework extends the ceasefire, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations. A formal in-person signing ceremony is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, Switzerland, prompting trader focus on physical attendance amid questions over which U.S. or Iranian officials will participate in person. Mediators from Pakistan and Qatar have been involved in prior talks, and the event timing aligns with the G7 summit schedule. Resolution hinges on confirmed participant lists ahead of the date.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,517
Data di fine
7 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A preliminary memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran was reached in mid-June 2026, with virtual signatures executed electronically by President Donald Trump, Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The framework extends the ceasefire, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, and launches 60 days of nuclear negotiations. A formal in-person signing ceremony is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, Switzerland, prompting trader focus on physical attendance amid questions over which U.S. or Iranian officials will participate in person. Mediators from Pakistan and Qatar have been involved in prior talks, and the event timing aligns with the G7 summit schedule. Resolution hinges on confirmed participant lists ahead of the date.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.

Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.

If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,517
Data di fine
7 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abbas Araghchi" a 90%, seguito da "JD Vance" a 89%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 90¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 16, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" è "Abbas Araghchi" a 90%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 90% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "JD Vance" a 89%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Chi parteciperà alla cerimonia di firma USA-Iran?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.