US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
16 giu 2026
15 giugno
29%
22 giugno
44%
30 giugno
57%
31 luglio
65%
$54 Vol.
15 giugno
$5 Vol.
29%
22 giugno
$97 Vol.
44%
30 giugno
$0 Vol.
57%
31 luglio
$6 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$54Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 2026 ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease certain sanctions, and launch follow-on talks on Iran’s nuclear program. President Trump stated on June 11 that a framework is largely finalized and a signing could occur within days in Europe, while Iranian officials have signaled continued exchanges via Pakistani mediation but expressed reservations over unresolved nuclear sequencing, asset releases, and guarantees. Limited exchanges of fire and targeted US strikes on Iranian surveillance sites in early June underscore the fragile truce. Final approvals from both leaderships and details on uranium disposition remain outstanding factors that could determine whether an agreement materializes in the near term.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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