**Traders see virtually no chance of a Trump handshake with an Iranian official by the June 20 deadline, pricing “No” at 92.5%.** The four-day window leaves little room for a high-level bilateral encounter. A U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 60-day ceasefire framework, with a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. Reports indicate the document has been handled through negotiators or virtual/electronic signatures by Trump and Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, without any scheduled in-person meeting between the U.S. president and senior Iranian officials. Recent diplomatic activity has focused on mediated talks and lower-level or virtual channels rather than direct presidential engagement. No announcements or credible reporting point to a summit, delegation visit, or ceremonial event in the immediate term that would produce a handshake. Historical precedent and the current post-conflict context further reduce the likelihood of an unplanned or symbolic personal interaction within the tight resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
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20 giu 2026
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Traders see virtually no chance of a Trump handshake with an Iranian official by the June 20 deadline, pricing “No” at 92.5%.**
The four-day window leaves little room for a high-level bilateral encounter. A U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 60-day ceasefire framework, with a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. Reports indicate the document has been handled through negotiators or virtual/electronic signatures by Trump and Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, without any scheduled in-person meeting between the U.S. president and senior Iranian officials.
Recent diplomatic activity has focused on mediated talks and lower-level or virtual channels rather than direct presidential engagement. No announcements or credible reporting point to a summit, delegation visit, or ceremonial event in the immediate term that would produce a handshake. Historical precedent and the current post-conflict context further reduce the likelihood of an unplanned or symbolic personal interaction within the tight resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Volume
$388Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.**Traders see virtually no chance of a Trump handshake with an Iranian official by the June 20 deadline, pricing “No” at 92.5%.**
The four-day window leaves little room for a high-level bilateral encounter. A U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 60-day ceasefire framework, with a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. Reports indicate the document has been handled through negotiators or virtual/electronic signatures by Trump and Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, without any scheduled in-person meeting between the U.S. president and senior Iranian officials.
Recent diplomatic activity has focused on mediated talks and lower-level or virtual channels rather than direct presidential engagement. No announcements or credible reporting point to a summit, delegation visit, or ceremonial event in the immediate term that would produce a handshake. Historical precedent and the current post-conflict context further reduce the likelihood of an unplanned or symbolic personal interaction within the tight resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
Volume
$388Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders see virtually no chance of a Trump handshake with an Iranian official by the June 20 deadline, pricing “No” at 92.5%.** The four-day window leaves little room for a high-level bilateral encounter. A U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding was reached around June 15 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a 60-day ceasefire framework, with a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. Reports indicate the document has been handled through negotiators or virtual/electronic signatures by Trump and Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, without any scheduled in-person meeting between the U.S. president and senior Iranian officials. Recent diplomatic activity has focused on mediated talks and lower-level or virtual channels rather than direct presidential engagement. No announcements or credible reporting point to a summit, delegation visit, or ceremonial event in the immediate term that would produce a handshake. Historical precedent and the current post-conflict context further reduce the likelihood of an unplanned or symbolic personal interaction within the tight resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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