**Trader consensus on a 92% "No" outcome for Trump publicly insulting Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday (June 19, 2026) reflects the current diplomatic focus in U.S.-Iran relations amid the ongoing 2026 conflict.** Negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding announced around June 14, with a signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland to formalize a 60-day ceasefire process, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address issues including Iran's nuclear program. President Trump has publicly stated he would be "honored" to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei if a deal is reached, described the possibility positively, and emphasized progress through back-channel and mediated talks rather than confrontation. Earlier critical remarks from March—such as calling the selection of Khamenei a "big mistake" or expressing disappointment—occurred during the initial phase of hostilities following Ali Khamenei's death and predate the recent shift toward de-escalation. No verified statements, leaks, or scheduled events in the past week indicate an imminent public insult, and the emphasis on finalizing the agreement makes such rhetoric unlikely in the immediate window. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these odds accounts for the timeline pressure of the signing and the incentives for both sides to maintain negotiating momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump insulterà pubblicamente Mojtaba Khamenei entro venerdì?
Trump insulterà pubblicamente Mojtaba Khamenei entro venerdì?
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on a 92% "No" outcome for Trump publicly insulting Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday (June 19, 2026) reflects the current diplomatic focus in U.S.-Iran relations amid the ongoing 2026 conflict.**
Negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding announced around June 14, with a signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland to formalize a 60-day ceasefire process, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address issues including Iran's nuclear program. President Trump has publicly stated he would be "honored" to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei if a deal is reached, described the possibility positively, and emphasized progress through back-channel and mediated talks rather than confrontation.
Earlier critical remarks from March—such as calling the selection of Khamenei a "big mistake" or expressing disappointment—occurred during the initial phase of hostilities following Ali Khamenei's death and predate the recent shift toward de-escalation. No verified statements, leaks, or scheduled events in the past week indicate an imminent public insult, and the emphasis on finalizing the agreement makes such rhetoric unlikely in the immediate window.
The wisdom of crowds reflected in these odds accounts for the timeline pressure of the signing and the incentives for both sides to maintain negotiating momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ET
Volume
$1,161Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus on a 92% "No" outcome for Trump publicly insulting Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday (June 19, 2026) reflects the current diplomatic focus in U.S.-Iran relations amid the ongoing 2026 conflict.**
Negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding announced around June 14, with a signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland to formalize a 60-day ceasefire process, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address issues including Iran's nuclear program. President Trump has publicly stated he would be "honored" to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei if a deal is reached, described the possibility positively, and emphasized progress through back-channel and mediated talks rather than confrontation.
Earlier critical remarks from March—such as calling the selection of Khamenei a "big mistake" or expressing disappointment—occurred during the initial phase of hostilities following Ali Khamenei's death and predate the recent shift toward de-escalation. No verified statements, leaks, or scheduled events in the past week indicate an imminent public insult, and the emphasis on finalizing the agreement makes such rhetoric unlikely in the immediate window.
The wisdom of crowds reflected in these odds accounts for the timeline pressure of the signing and the incentives for both sides to maintain negotiating momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mojtaba Khamenei personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,161Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 8:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus on a 92% "No" outcome for Trump publicly insulting Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday (June 19, 2026) reflects the current diplomatic focus in U.S.-Iran relations amid the ongoing 2026 conflict.** Negotiations have produced a memorandum of understanding announced around June 14, with a signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland to formalize a 60-day ceasefire process, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address issues including Iran's nuclear program. President Trump has publicly stated he would be "honored" to meet Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei if a deal is reached, described the possibility positively, and emphasized progress through back-channel and mediated talks rather than confrontation. Earlier critical remarks from March—such as calling the selection of Khamenei a "big mistake" or expressing disappointment—occurred during the initial phase of hostilities following Ali Khamenei's death and predate the recent shift toward de-escalation. No verified statements, leaks, or scheduled events in the past week indicate an imminent public insult, and the emphasis on finalizing the agreement makes such rhetoric unlikely in the immediate window. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these odds accounts for the timeline pressure of the signing and the incentives for both sides to maintain negotiating momentum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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