**Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a framework memorandum of understanding (MoU) to pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60-day talks on Iran's nuclear program.** As of June 15-16, 2026, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance electronically signed the interim agreement alongside Iran's Parliament Speaker; Trump publicly described the deal as "all signed" while noting the text would follow. A ceremonial signing is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, but Trump has stated attendance "depends" and has not committed to appearing in person. The 70% "No" probability on physical signing reflects trader consensus that the core MoU has already been executed virtually, the planned ceremony is secondary and may proceed without Trump's direct participation, and the agreement remains an initial framework rather than a finalized document requiring in-person presidential signature. Key variables include Trump's schedule at the G7 summit, any last-minute changes to the Geneva event, and whether the process shifts entirely to electronic or proxy execution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump firmerà fisicamente l'accordo USA x Iran?
Trump firmerà fisicamente l'accordo USA x Iran?
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a framework memorandum of understanding (MoU) to pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60-day talks on Iran's nuclear program.** As of June 15-16, 2026, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance electronically signed the interim agreement alongside Iran's Parliament Speaker; Trump publicly described the deal as "all signed" while noting the text would follow. A ceremonial signing is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, but Trump has stated attendance "depends" and has not committed to appearing in person.
The 70% "No" probability on physical signing reflects trader consensus that the core MoU has already been executed virtually, the planned ceremony is secondary and may proceed without Trump's direct participation, and the agreement remains an initial framework rather than a finalized document requiring in-person presidential signature. Key variables include Trump's schedule at the G7 summit, any last-minute changes to the Geneva event, and whether the process shifts entirely to electronic or proxy execution.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$2,426Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a framework memorandum of understanding (MoU) to pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60-day talks on Iran's nuclear program.** As of June 15-16, 2026, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance electronically signed the interim agreement alongside Iran's Parliament Speaker; Trump publicly described the deal as "all signed" while noting the text would follow. A ceremonial signing is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, but Trump has stated attendance "depends" and has not committed to appearing in person.
The 70% "No" probability on physical signing reflects trader consensus that the core MoU has already been executed virtually, the planned ceremony is secondary and may proceed without Trump's direct participation, and the agreement remains an initial framework rather than a finalized document requiring in-person presidential signature. Key variables include Trump's schedule at the G7 summit, any last-minute changes to the Geneva event, and whether the process shifts entirely to electronic or proxy execution.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,436Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations produced a framework memorandum of understanding (MoU) to pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60-day talks on Iran's nuclear program.** As of June 15-16, 2026, President Trump and Vice President JD Vance electronically signed the interim agreement alongside Iran's Parliament Speaker; Trump publicly described the deal as "all signed" while noting the text would follow. A ceremonial signing is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva, but Trump has stated attendance "depends" and has not committed to appearing in person. The 70% "No" probability on physical signing reflects trader consensus that the core MoU has already been executed virtually, the planned ceremony is secondary and may proceed without Trump's direct participation, and the agreement remains an initial framework rather than a finalized document requiring in-person presidential signature. Key variables include Trump's schedule at the G7 summit, any last-minute changes to the Geneva event, and whether the process shifts entirely to electronic or proxy execution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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