**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 72.5% stems primarily from persistent U.S. regulatory and national security barriers.** CXMT remains on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for waivers while facing bipartisan Senate pressure, including from Chuck Schumer, to avoid the supplier. Recent August 2026 reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple's price-cut demands amid tight 2026 capacity already allocated elsewhere, stalling negotiations that began earlier this year amid DRAM shortages. Although Apple has tested CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-only devices and explored broader sourcing to offset AI-driven price spikes from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, qualification timelines, export controls, and political risks make meaningful 2026 purchases improbable. Key upcoming catalysts include any Commerce Department decisions on approvals or further capacity updates from CXMT.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple acquisterà chip di memoria CXMT nel 2026?
Apple acquisterà chip di memoria CXMT nel 2026?
Sì
28% probabilità
$15,069 Vol.
$15,069 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
28% probabilità
$15,069 Vol.
$15,069 Vol.
31 dic 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 72.5% stems primarily from persistent U.S. regulatory and national security barriers.** CXMT remains on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for waivers while facing bipartisan Senate pressure, including from Chuck Schumer, to avoid the supplier. Recent August 2026 reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple's price-cut demands amid tight 2026 capacity already allocated elsewhere, stalling negotiations that began earlier this year amid DRAM shortages. Although Apple has tested CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-only devices and explored broader sourcing to offset AI-driven price spikes from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, qualification timelines, export controls, and political risks make meaningful 2026 purchases improbable. Key upcoming catalysts include any Commerce Department decisions on approvals or further capacity updates from CXMT.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Volume
$15,069Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 72.5% stems primarily from persistent U.S. regulatory and national security barriers.** CXMT remains on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for waivers while facing bipartisan Senate pressure, including from Chuck Schumer, to avoid the supplier. Recent August 2026 reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple's price-cut demands amid tight 2026 capacity already allocated elsewhere, stalling negotiations that began earlier this year amid DRAM shortages. Although Apple has tested CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-only devices and explored broader sourcing to offset AI-driven price spikes from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, qualification timelines, export controls, and political risks make meaningful 2026 purchases improbable. Key upcoming catalysts include any Commerce Department decisions on approvals or further capacity updates from CXMT.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,069Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 72.5% stems primarily from persistent U.S. regulatory and national security barriers.** CXMT remains on the Pentagon blacklist over alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration for waivers while facing bipartisan Senate pressure, including from Chuck Schumer, to avoid the supplier. Recent August 2026 reports indicate CXMT rejected Apple's price-cut demands amid tight 2026 capacity already allocated elsewhere, stalling negotiations that began earlier this year amid DRAM shortages. Although Apple has tested CXMT LPDDR5X chips for China-only devices and explored broader sourcing to offset AI-driven price spikes from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, qualification timelines, export controls, and political risks make meaningful 2026 purchases improbable. Key upcoming catalysts include any Commerce Department decisions on approvals or further capacity updates from CXMT.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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