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icon for Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Tecnologia·Mela

Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?

icon for Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Tecnologia·Mela

Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?

Sì

85% probabilità
Polymarket

$196,273 Vol.

Sì

85% probabilità
Polymarket

$196,273 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as a premium "iPhone Ultra" or "iPhone Fold" with a book-style design, large inner display around 7.8 inches, and advanced hinge technology—remains on track for a 2026 launch according to the prevailing supply-chain and analyst reports.** Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reaffirmed in April 2026 that the device is slated for a September introduction alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, countering earlier Nikkei Asia reports of engineering hurdles that could push shipments into 2027. Recent leaker commentary, including from Fixed Focus Digital, has dismissed fresh delay speculation as overstated, reinforcing trader views that a 2026 release is the base case. Supporting details include analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's earlier production timeline signals and consistent mentions of fall 2026 manufacturing ramps, even if initial shipments slip modestly into late 2026 or December. Historical precedent for Apple's careful iteration on new form factors, combined with competitive pressure from Samsung and others, further underpins the market-implied odds near 81% for a pre-2027 debut. Key near-term catalysts include any WWDC 2026 hints and the September hardware event, where confirmation or minor timeline adjustments could move sentiment. While engineering challenges around hinges, displays, and supply remain real risks that could still cause slippage, the weight of credible reporting favors completion within 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,273
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as a premium "iPhone Ultra" or "iPhone Fold" with a book-style design, large inner display around 7.8 inches, and advanced hinge technology—remains on track for a 2026 launch according to the prevailing supply-chain and analyst reports.** Bloomberg's Mark Gurman reaffirmed in April 2026 that the device is slated for a September introduction alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models, countering earlier Nikkei Asia reports of engineering hurdles that could push shipments into 2027. Recent leaker commentary, including from Fixed Focus Digital, has dismissed fresh delay speculation as overstated, reinforcing trader views that a 2026 release is the base case. Supporting details include analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's earlier production timeline signals and consistent mentions of fall 2026 manufacturing ramps, even if initial shipments slip modestly into late 2026 or December. Historical precedent for Apple's careful iteration on new form factors, combined with competitive pressure from Samsung and others, further underpins the market-implied odds near 81% for a pre-2027 debut. Key near-term catalysts include any WWDC 2026 hints and the September hardware event, where confirmation or minor timeline adjustments could move sentiment. While engineering challenges around hinges, displays, and supply remain real risks that could still cause slippage, the weight of credible reporting favors completion within 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$196,273
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" a 85%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 85¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" ha generato $196.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 12, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" è "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" a 85%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.