Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected as a premium book-style model potentially branded iPhone Ultra, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate a September 2026 announcement alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, with production ramping despite earlier engineering snags noted by Nikkei. Recent updates suggest initial production hurdles have eased, supporting shipments by year-end even if availability slips slightly past the initial event. Traders weigh this against Apple’s history of staggered launches and the device’s technical demands, such as a crease-free display, while noting the absence of credible 2027-only signals as the dominant factor behind current market consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoApple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Apple rilascerà un iPhone pieghevole prima del 2027?
Sì
90% probabilità
$266,880 Vol.
$266,880 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
90% probabilità
$266,880 Vol.
$266,880 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected as a premium book-style model potentially branded iPhone Ultra, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate a September 2026 announcement alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, with production ramping despite earlier engineering snags noted by Nikkei. Recent updates suggest initial production hurdles have eased, supporting shipments by year-end even if availability slips slightly past the initial event. Traders weigh this against Apple’s history of staggered launches and the device’s technical demands, such as a crease-free display, while noting the absence of credible 2027-only signals as the dominant factor behind current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$266,880Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected as a premium book-style model potentially branded iPhone Ultra, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate a September 2026 announcement alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, with production ramping despite earlier engineering snags noted by Nikkei. Recent updates suggest initial production hurdles have eased, supporting shipments by year-end even if availability slips slightly past the initial event. Traders weigh this against Apple’s history of staggered launches and the device’s technical demands, such as a crease-free display, while noting the absence of credible 2027-only signals as the dominant factor behind current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$266,880Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s first foldable iPhone, widely expected as a premium book-style model potentially branded iPhone Ultra, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Supply-chain reports and analysts including Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate a September 2026 announcement alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, with production ramping despite earlier engineering snags noted by Nikkei. Recent updates suggest initial production hurdles have eased, supporting shipments by year-end even if availability slips slightly past the initial event. Traders weigh this against Apple’s history of staggered launches and the device’s technical demands, such as a crease-free display, while noting the absence of credible 2027-only signals as the dominant factor behind current market consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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