Google's repeated delays to the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped into July—have anchored trader expectations around extended timelines, with the 58.5% probability of no release by November 1 reflecting the absence of any confirmed launch window amid ongoing partner testing. Recent releases of lighter variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and 3.6 Flash in late July, signal prioritization of efficient models over the frontier Pro version, while the current Gemini 3.1 Pro remains the publicly available leader. This pattern of incremental updates without Pro milestones, combined with competitive pressure from rival labs, sustains the market's spread across September and October intervals without a dominant near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Quando uscirà il prossimo modello di Google Gemini Pro?
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 40%
Prima del 31 agosto 25%
7–13 settembre 24%
14 settembre–20 settembre 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
Prima del 31 agosto
25%
31 agosto–6 settembre
22%
7–13 settembre
24%
14 settembre–20 settembre
22%
21 settembre–27 settembre
22%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
22%
5–11 ottobre
22%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
21%
19–25 ottobre
21%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
22%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
58%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre 40%
Prima del 31 agosto 25%
7–13 settembre 24%
14 settembre–20 settembre 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
Prima del 31 agosto
$0 Vol.
25%
31 agosto–6 settembre
$0 Vol.
22%
7–13 settembre
$0 Vol.
24%
14 settembre–20 settembre
$0 Vol.
22%
21 settembre–27 settembre
$0 Vol.
22%
28 settembre–4 ottobre
$0 Vol.
22%
5–11 ottobre
$0 Vol.
22%
12 ottobre–18 ottobre
$0 Vol.
21%
19–25 ottobre
$0 Vol.
21%
26 ottobre–1 novembre
$0 Vol.
22%
Nessun rilascio entro il 1° novembre
$47 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays to the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped into July—have anchored trader expectations around extended timelines, with the 58.5% probability of no release by November 1 reflecting the absence of any confirmed launch window amid ongoing partner testing. Recent releases of lighter variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and 3.6 Flash in late July, signal prioritization of efficient models over the frontier Pro version, while the current Gemini 3.1 Pro remains the publicly available leader. This pattern of incremental updates without Pro milestones, combined with competitive pressure from rival labs, sustains the market's spread across September and October intervals without a dominant near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$47Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays to the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped into July—have anchored trader expectations around extended timelines, with the 58.5% probability of no release by November 1 reflecting the absence of any confirmed launch window amid ongoing partner testing. Recent releases of lighter variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and 3.6 Flash in late July, signal prioritization of efficient models over the frontier Pro version, while the current Gemini 3.1 Pro remains the publicly available leader. This pattern of incremental updates without Pro milestones, combined with competitive pressure from rival labs, sustains the market's spread across September and October intervals without a dominant near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$47Data di fine
1 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays to the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May I/O announcement, then slipped into July—have anchored trader expectations around extended timelines, with the 58.5% probability of no release by November 1 reflecting the absence of any confirmed launch window amid ongoing partner testing. Recent releases of lighter variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash on August 13 and 3.6 Flash in late July, signal prioritization of efficient models over the frontier Pro version, while the current Gemini 3.1 Pro remains the publicly available leader. This pattern of incremental updates without Pro milestones, combined with competitive pressure from rival labs, sustains the market's spread across September and October intervals without a dominant near-term catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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