**Banksy’s consistent pattern of surprise street interventions, combined with multiple confirmed works across late 2025 and early 2026, underpins the strong 83.5% market-implied odds for a new mural or public piece by year-end.** The artist authenticated a provocative judicial mural at London’s Royal Courts of Justice in September 2025 and followed with winter-themed stargazing children pieces in Bayswater and near Centre Point in December 2025, both posted on his official Instagram. In April 2026 a new public sculpture appeared on Waterloo Place—later verified via Instagram video—showing the same rapid, location-specific approach that has defined his output. Traders view this cadence, plus Banksy’s history of holiday- or event-timed drops and lack of any retirement signals, as making another appearance highly probable within the six-plus months remaining. Key upcoming catalysts include potential Christmas-season timing and any major news events that often prompt his politically charged responses. While exact timing remains unpredictable, the recent track record and cultural expectations around his annual activity strongly support the current consensus.