Alcaraz has remained sidelined since April with a right wrist tenosynovitis injury, prompting withdrawals from Montreal and Cincinnati while he prioritizes rehabilitation over rushed returns. As the defending champion and world No. 2 on the US Open entry list, he retains a path to participate starting August 30, with the Winston-Salem Open as a potential final tune-up. Recent reports note gradual increases in practice intensity, yet the extended absence raises concerns about match readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader consensus at 62.5% for a "Yes" outcome reflects the balance between his status as a top seed and the documented recovery timeline, with any confirmed participation or further setbacks likely to shift implied probabilities quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato64% probabilità
$14,160 Vol.
$14,160 Vol.
64% probabilità
$14,160 Vol.
$14,160 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alcaraz has remained sidelined since April with a right wrist tenosynovitis injury, prompting withdrawals from Montreal and Cincinnati while he prioritizes rehabilitation over rushed returns. As the defending champion and world No. 2 on the US Open entry list, he retains a path to participate starting August 30, with the Winston-Salem Open as a potential final tune-up. Recent reports note gradual increases in practice intensity, yet the extended absence raises concerns about match readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader consensus at 62.5% for a "Yes" outcome reflects the balance between his status as a top seed and the documented recovery timeline, with any confirmed participation or further setbacks likely to shift implied probabilities quickly.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,160Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alcaraz has remained sidelined since April with a right wrist tenosynovitis injury, prompting withdrawals from Montreal and Cincinnati while he prioritizes rehabilitation over rushed returns. As the defending champion and world No. 2 on the US Open entry list, he retains a path to participate starting August 30, with the Winston-Salem Open as a potential final tune-up. Recent reports note gradual increases in practice intensity, yet the extended absence raises concerns about match readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader consensus at 62.5% for a "Yes" outcome reflects the balance between his status as a top seed and the documented recovery timeline, with any confirmed participation or further setbacks likely to shift implied probabilities quickly.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,160Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Alcaraz has remained sidelined since April with a right wrist tenosynovitis injury, prompting withdrawals from Montreal and Cincinnati while he prioritizes rehabilitation over rushed returns. As the defending champion and world No. 2 on the US Open entry list, he retains a path to participate starting August 30, with the Winston-Salem Open as a potential final tune-up. Recent reports note gradual increases in practice intensity, yet the extended absence raises concerns about match readiness for best-of-five sets. Trader consensus at 62.5% for a "Yes" outcome reflects the balance between his status as a top seed and the documented recovery timeline, with any confirmed participation or further setbacks likely to shift implied probabilities quickly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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