The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine remain competitive battlegrounds three months before Election Day, with Democratic candidates showing leads in recent North Carolina polling but narrower or uncertain margins in the others. In North Carolina, Democrat Roy Cooper holds a consistent advantage over Republican Michael Whatley. Michigan’s open seat features a Democratic primary between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, with general-election polls near ties against the Republican nominee. Maine’s race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, where polling and trader prices indicate a slight Democratic edge but structural challenges for a sweep persist. Georgia’s contest centers on Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff defending against Republican challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices “No” at 55.5% because simultaneous victories across all four would require overcoming these distinct polling variances, primary outcomes, and incumbency dynamics in a single cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
45% probabilità
$18,549 Vol.
$18,549 Vol.
3 nov 2026
45% probabilità
$18,549 Vol.
$18,549 Vol.
3 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine remain competitive battlegrounds three months before Election Day, with Democratic candidates showing leads in recent North Carolina polling but narrower or uncertain margins in the others. In North Carolina, Democrat Roy Cooper holds a consistent advantage over Republican Michael Whatley. Michigan’s open seat features a Democratic primary between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, with general-election polls near ties against the Republican nominee. Maine’s race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, where polling and trader prices indicate a slight Democratic edge but structural challenges for a sweep persist. Georgia’s contest centers on Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff defending against Republican challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices “No” at 55.5% because simultaneous victories across all four would require overcoming these distinct polling variances, primary outcomes, and incumbency dynamics in a single cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,549Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine remain competitive battlegrounds three months before Election Day, with Democratic candidates showing leads in recent North Carolina polling but narrower or uncertain margins in the others. In North Carolina, Democrat Roy Cooper holds a consistent advantage over Republican Michael Whatley. Michigan’s open seat features a Democratic primary between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, with general-election polls near ties against the Republican nominee. Maine’s race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, where polling and trader prices indicate a slight Democratic edge but structural challenges for a sweep persist. Georgia’s contest centers on Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff defending against Republican challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices “No” at 55.5% because simultaneous victories across all four would require overcoming these distinct polling variances, primary outcomes, and incumbency dynamics in a single cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$18,549Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The core four 2026 Senate contests in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine remain competitive battlegrounds three months before Election Day, with Democratic candidates showing leads in recent North Carolina polling but narrower or uncertain margins in the others. In North Carolina, Democrat Roy Cooper holds a consistent advantage over Republican Michael Whatley. Michigan’s open seat features a Democratic primary between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens, with general-election polls near ties against the Republican nominee. Maine’s race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, where polling and trader prices indicate a slight Democratic edge but structural challenges for a sweep persist. Georgia’s contest centers on Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff defending against Republican challengers. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices “No” at 55.5% because simultaneous victories across all four would require overcoming these distinct polling variances, primary outcomes, and incumbency dynamics in a single cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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