Macron has prioritized parliamentary legislation over direct public consultation for flagship reforms, including revisions to the social media age-restriction bill after the Constitutional Council struck down key provisions in mid-August 2026. The president directed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to prepare a legally robust draft aimed at implementation by spring 2027, consistent with his pattern of working through the National Assembly and Senate rather than invoking Article 11 referendum procedures. Public calls for a vote on the measure have come from figures like Gabriel Attal, not the Élysée, and no official statements or procedural steps signal plans for a referendum before year-end. With the presidential election scheduled for April-May 2027 and Macron term-limited, trader consensus reflects the absence of imminent catalysts or institutional pressure for direct democracy within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Macron has prioritized parliamentary legislation over direct public consultation for flagship reforms, including revisions to the social media age-restriction bill after the Constitutional Council struck down key provisions in mid-August 2026. The president directed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to prepare a legally robust draft aimed at implementation by spring 2027, consistent with his pattern of working through the National Assembly and Senate rather than invoking Article 11 referendum procedures. Public calls for a vote on the measure have come from figures like Gabriel Attal, not the Élysée, and no official statements or procedural steps signal plans for a referendum before year-end. With the presidential election scheduled for April-May 2027 and Macron term-limited, trader consensus reflects the absence of imminent catalysts or institutional pressure for direct democracy within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Macron has prioritized parliamentary legislation over direct public consultation for flagship reforms, including revisions to the social media age-restriction bill after the Constitutional Council struck down key provisions in mid-August 2026. The president directed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to prepare a legally robust draft aimed at implementation by spring 2027, consistent with his pattern of working through the National Assembly and Senate rather than invoking Article 11 referendum procedures. Public calls for a vote on the measure have come from figures like Gabriel Attal, not the Élysée, and no official statements or procedural steps signal plans for a referendum before year-end. With the presidential election scheduled for April-May 2027 and Macron term-limited, trader consensus reflects the absence of imminent catalysts or institutional pressure for direct democracy within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.
A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.
If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.
This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.
The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Macron has prioritized parliamentary legislation over direct public consultation for flagship reforms, including revisions to the social media age-restriction bill after the Constitutional Council struck down key provisions in mid-August 2026. The president directed Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu to prepare a legally robust draft aimed at implementation by spring 2027, consistent with his pattern of working through the National Assembly and Senate rather than invoking Article 11 referendum procedures. Public calls for a vote on the measure have come from figures like Gabriel Attal, not the Élysée, and no official statements or procedural steps signal plans for a referendum before year-end. With the presidential election scheduled for April-May 2027 and Macron term-limited, trader consensus reflects the absence of imminent catalysts or institutional pressure for direct democracy within the resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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