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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

icon for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,193,408 Vol.

Lionel Messi 52.0%

Kylian Mbappe 21%

Erling Haaland 7%

Ousmane Dembele 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,193,408 Vol.

Lionel Messi

$1,182,481 Vol.

52%

Kylian Mbappe

$1,356,320 Vol.

21%

Erling Haaland

$908,754 Vol.

7%

Ousmane Dembele

$1,272,593 Vol.

7%

Vinicius Junior

$697,906 Vol.

5%

Harry Kane

$890,347 Vol.

5%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$982,424 Vol.

1%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$1,312,627 Vol.

1%

Deniz Undav

$679,458 Vol.

1%

Lamine Yamal

$877,664 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$635,910 Vol.

<1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,754,548 Vol.

<1%

Kai Havertz

$624,947 Vol.

<1%

Michael Olise

$2,130,545 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$588,753 Vol.

<1%

Folarin Balogun

$415,538 Vol.

<1%

Raphinha

$356,226 Vol.

<1%

Noah Okafor

$326,408 Vol.

<1%

Scott McTominay

$292,882 Vol.

<1%

Rodrygo

$262,789 Vol.

<1%

Amad Diallo

$675,529 Vol.

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$324,299 Vol.

<1%

Edin Džeko

$286,543 Vol.

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,627,557 Vol.

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$212,871 Vol.

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$418,036 Vol.

<1%

Ferran Torres

$538,100 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$178,559 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$451,771 Vol.

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$260,525 Vol.

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$247,767 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$443,963 Vol.

<1%

Dani Olmo

$436,403 Vol.

<1%

Desire Doue

$682,793 Vol.

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$1,005,056 Vol.

<1%

Sadio Mane

$299,173 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$835,635 Vol.

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,552,245 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$456,393 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$428,260 Vol.

<1%

Pedri

$490,005 Vol.

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$582,090 Vol.

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,428,077 Vol.

<1%

Donyell Malen

$720,499 Vol.

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$484,118 Vol.

<1%

Dion Beljo

$154,558 Vol.

<1%

Endrick

$693,806 Vol.

<1%

Florian Wirtz

$474,381 Vol.

<1%

Memphis Depay

$332,879 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,193,408
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,193,408
Data di fine
20 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 52+ possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lionel Messi" a 52%, seguito da "Kylian Mbappe" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" ha generato $36.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner", esplora i 52+ esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" è "Lionel Messi" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kylian Mbappe" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "World Cup: Golden Boot Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.