xAI's rapid model releases, including Grok 4.3 and Grok 4.20 in early May 2026, have propelled trader optimism despite Grok 4's modest 12-14% score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning with unpublished, expert-level problems. These latest Groks dominate coding and agentic benchmarks like PinchBench and Artificial Analysis, showcasing improved instruction-following and low hallucination rates at efficient 500B parameters, signaling potential spillover to math capabilities amid xAI's Colossus supercluster scaling. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leads FrontierMath at 47.6%, but no evaluations exist yet for newer Groks; upcoming Grok 4.4 or previews of the 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 by June 30 could catalyze a breakthrough, though timelines remain uncertain in this fast-evolving AI race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornatopunteggio xAI Grok su FrontierMath Benchmark entro il 30 giugno?
punteggio xAI Grok su FrontierMath Benchmark entro il 30 giugno?
$20,870 Vol.
28 feb 2026
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$20,870 Vol.
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$5,197 Vol.
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$12,605 Vol.
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$2,898 Vol.
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$170 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's rapid model releases, including Grok 4.3 and Grok 4.20 in early May 2026, have propelled trader optimism despite Grok 4's modest 12-14% score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning with unpublished, expert-level problems. These latest Groks dominate coding and agentic benchmarks like PinchBench and Artificial Analysis, showcasing improved instruction-following and low hallucination rates at efficient 500B parameters, signaling potential spillover to math capabilities amid xAI's Colossus supercluster scaling. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leads FrontierMath at 47.6%, but no evaluations exist yet for newer Groks; upcoming Grok 4.4 or previews of the 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 by June 30 could catalyze a breakthrough, though timelines remain uncertain in this fast-evolving AI race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$20,870Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's rapid model releases, including Grok 4.3 and Grok 4.20 in early May 2026, have propelled trader optimism despite Grok 4's modest 12-14% score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning with unpublished, expert-level problems. These latest Groks dominate coding and agentic benchmarks like PinchBench and Artificial Analysis, showcasing improved instruction-following and low hallucination rates at efficient 500B parameters, signaling potential spillover to math capabilities amid xAI's Colossus supercluster scaling. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leads FrontierMath at 47.6%, but no evaluations exist yet for newer Groks; upcoming Grok 4.4 or previews of the 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 by June 30 could catalyze a breakthrough, though timelines remain uncertain in this fast-evolving AI race.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,870Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's rapid model releases, including Grok 4.3 and Grok 4.20 in early May 2026, have propelled trader optimism despite Grok 4's modest 12-14% score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning with unpublished, expert-level problems. These latest Groks dominate coding and agentic benchmarks like PinchBench and Artificial Analysis, showcasing improved instruction-following and low hallucination rates at efficient 500B parameters, signaling potential spillover to math capabilities amid xAI's Colossus supercluster scaling. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 leads FrontierMath at 47.6%, but no evaluations exist yet for newer Groks; upcoming Grok 4.4 or previews of the 10-trillion-parameter Grok 5 by June 30 could catalyze a breakthrough, though timelines remain uncertain in this fast-evolving AI race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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