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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
テクノロジー·文化

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
テクノロジー·文化

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

5月 15

5月 15

ChatGPT 80.0%

Claude by Anthropic 4.6%

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker 1.0%

Google 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,253 Vol.

ChatGPT 80.0%

Claude by Anthropic 4.6%

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker 1.0%

Google 1.0%

Polymarket

$5,253 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$800 Vol.

87%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$1,956 Vol.

5%

icon for Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

Kling AI: AI Image&Video Maker

$226 Vol.

1%

icon for Google

Google

$695 Vol.

1%

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$113 Vol.

1%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$240 Vol.

1%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$547 Vol.

1%

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$335 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands a dominant 72.5% implied probability as the #2 free app in the US iPhone App Store on May 15, reflecting its current stranglehold on that exact position behind Instagram's surging Instants app, fueled by sustained user engagement from recent image generation updates and everyday AI utility. Claude by Anthropic trails at 20.1%, buoyed by momentum from May 8 reports of over 1 million daily signups, free memory features, and one-click migrations attracting defectors amid lingering OpenAI controversies like the Pentagon deal. Lower-tier odds for Netflix Game Controller, Google Gemini, Kling AI, CapCut, Temu, Google, and Meta AI stem from sporadic viral spikes in gaming, video editing, shopping, and rival AI tools, but traders see limited upside against the AI frontrunners' chart lock-in before the daily snapshot resolves. Rankings can shift rapidly with download surges, keeping the market volatile.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$5,253
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands a dominant 72.5% implied probability as the #2 free app in the US iPhone App Store on May 15, reflecting its current stranglehold on that exact position behind Instagram's surging Instants app, fueled by sustained user engagement from recent image generation updates and everyday AI utility. Claude by Anthropic trails at 20.1%, buoyed by momentum from May 8 reports of over 1 million daily signups, free memory features, and one-click migrations attracting defectors amid lingering OpenAI controversies like the Pentagon deal. Lower-tier odds for Netflix Game Controller, Google Gemini, Kling AI, CapCut, Temu, Google, and Meta AI stem from sporadic viral spikes in gaming, video editing, shopping, and rival AI tools, but traders see limited upside against the AI frontrunners' chart lock-in before the daily snapshot resolves. Rankings can shift rapidly with download surges, keeping the market volatile.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$5,253
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ChatGPT」で87%、次いで「Claude by Anthropic」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ChatGPT」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Claude by Anthropic」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。